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Biensie

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Everything posted by Biensie

  1. I do agree, I also live in North Kent and unfortunately after all the promises we did miss out and were left reading about our neighbours enjoying the snow.
  2. Sorry must have the Medway Shield over my house, as two reports of snow in my area but somehow seem to be missing me?
  3. I had a quick look on model thread too and got out quick ! lol Oh and no snow in Rainham as usual.... spend all my time reading about people having snow either side of me very frustrating..
  4. Biensie

    snow2013

    snow
  5. Biensie

    snowrabbit

    From the album: snow2013

  6. I nicked this from the model thread as I thought it would be of benefit and interest here. Good morning folks. Here is my take on how the models shape up this morning taken from the 00zs of GFS, UKMO, GEM and ECM for today Monday January 21st 2013. All models show the cold weather lingering on for the whole of the working week. There will be various fronts delivering the risk of snow in places early in the week, notably in the NE today and tomorrow while Southern and SW areas may join in latr tonight, tomorrow and early on Wednesday as further Low pressure and associated troughs disrupt as they move SE over the SW then down into France. By midweek pressure will be rising and the risk of snow will be subsiding as a ridge of High pressure develops over the UK for a time bringing sharp night time frosts but brighter days with some sunshine. By Friday cloud and wind will be increasing in the NW as winds turn SW with milder weather with rain reaching these areas later. England and Wales will probably hold on to the dry and cold conditions near the ridge for one more day. GFS then shows a change over the weekend as troughs cross East over Britain, especially on Sunday in a strengthening SW flow bringing about a rapid thaw along with heavy rain followed by showers, wintry on Northern hills. From then on through the remainder of the run the weather stays windy, relatively mild and unsettled with showers or longer spells at times in strong winds. Late in the run pressure rises over Greenland and the UK turns colder again with wintry showers right at the end of FI. The GFS Ensembles show a warming up and the end of the week to nearer to normal uppers. Later in the run uppers do trend back downwards again to levels just below the norm. There are plenty of precipitation spikes, notably at the transition to milder weather with changeable conditions shown thereafter. The Jet Stream shows the flow continuing East across Southern Europe for a few more days before it ridges Northwards to our West to latitudes of 50-55deg North eventually crossing the UK and turning SE through NW Europe by next weekend. UKMO for midnight on Sunday shows milder weather well established by then with a fresh SW wind, continuing thaw and rain moving in again from the West through the following day. GEM shows a less mild scenario through the latter stages of its run with a slower transition to less cold weather, especially in the East through the weekend. Nevertheless, the pattern of a thaw and a good deal of rain with strong winds is shown with snow reserved for Northern hills in its latter stages as Low pressures cross into the UK. ECM shows an active Atlantic trough moving East through the UK on Sunday followed by a run of long fetch SW winds bringing ever milder weather with rain at times, most heavy and prolonged in the North and West with just shorted cooler spells with showers likely at times later as cold fronts pass by. In Summary the change to milder weather at the weekend is well and truly programmed to occur now at the weekend and before in the NW. There will be a few more days for snow to occur over the UK before pressure brings a day or two of cold and frosty weather. The Jet Stream then rides over the top of the ridge sinking it quickly away SE and bringing milder and strong SW winds and rain at times and a rapid thaw of all lying snow over the weekend. The pattern then seems set for a while of a traditional Atlantic feed of strong winds from the SW, with rain at times and some brief drier interludes of sunshine and showers. Martin Gibbs Radstock Somerset http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk
  7. Hi all, Yesterday. there were 'joke' photos being posted of a road dug out from VERY deep snow. I have gone back but it is taking too long to find one. If anyone can post one or tell me where to find one, I'll be grateful. Thanks
  8. Im not getting the heavy stuff, had the same light stuff all day and we are only in Rainham, near big Tesco probably 3 miles away! But not moaning coz we have enough to sledge in, and make a swowman and it looks very pretty. But if you could blow it over...
  9. Snowing in Rainham quite nicely, keep it up! temp -1.7
  10. Was waiting for the first negative post....... usual thing..... and getting very boring
  11. Can you put a link to the Michael Fish Forescast on here, which will help East Kent worriers.
  12. Back to now - briefly, after looking at MO weather forecast a while ago, I was curious to find out if heavy snow has decended in the Dover area as yet?
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