[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

14 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Nothing to report here in this part of devon, tomorrow could be our day for snow showers.

And regards to the end of week I got this feeling this could be our time people!!!!

I’m in full agreement with you my friend ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

16 minutes ago, EllyTech said:

Looks like the tip of Cornwall is about to enjoy the streamer. 

Indeed we are, we’ve been having light snow blowing in the east wind for the last hour now. Couple miles east of Falmouth in the coast.

 

wayno 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

First grains of snow here in Cornwall on the south coast and Falmouth. It’s a start ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Keep the faith guys, it’s slightly better than last nights offerings. There will be more subtle southward corrections over the coming days and I’m sure it’ll be completely different come Tuesday eve.

 

Wayno 

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

Regarding Friday. UKMO & ECM both marginally better this morning from last nights viewings. As it’s been said, been a little too progressive in removing the cold uppers so quickly and I think a trend of correcting further south is on the cards.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

I don’t think we’ve seen the end of this drama. What are the chances of the pub run pulling out a stella run ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

3 hours ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Why thank you! Your not too bad yourself ...

Your welcome, I don’t make a habit of flirting you know ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

A thing of beauty! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

i Can only think most on here are planning a long weekend next week now! ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

GFS being to progressive with Thursday/fridays low. I can still see this system sliding up the channel at better angle and leaving us in a great position to see a good dumping of snow. 

Basically as Karl has said.

 

wayno 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

22 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Easy!!! Blizzard! I couldn’t do it to you all, team player me!

Heres the ECM view on snow accumulations for end of the weeks fun..

I’m not greedy, I’d take that!

Some lovely dark colours on that map ? 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

I remember 87 only to well. Was an amazing couple weeks down here in cornwall especially as a 7 year older ?

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

That’s my only concern. Just hoping we have a slight correction south over the next few days. But not to far obviously 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

I to have worked my weeble off this week so I can free up next Friday ?????

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

5 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

From that system at the end of the week I think the highest snow risk is for the south, with a moderate risk for central areas and a low risk further north. Increased shower activity to the north of the system as the isobars tighten. Only a low risk of it becoming too marginal in the far south. That low is not going to go very far north and the cold is not going to be broken down anytime soon. It just won’t happen.

Quite often you see the track of these systems often trend further south within the final 5 days. 2013 springs to mind. If so should keep the colder weather with us for longer and give us guys down south some much needed excitement.

 

wayno 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

I think anyone on the far south coast of Cornwall and Devon should start seeing snowfall from as early as Monday next week. I remember on a couple of occasions on the Roseland & Lizard peninsula where the shower bands have just hugged the coastline and maybe 3 Miles I Land’s it’s been bone dry. 

Still loads to play for especially for next Friday, fingers crossed we see a better correction to that low coming up from our south west. 

 

Wayno 

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

I’m still a little concerned re the trend for that low coming up from the Bay of Biscay on Friday. The GFS has been hinting at bringing in slightly less  cold air in with it for the last few days and I wonder if the UKMO is picking up on it also. ECM for me is a blinder! And one that has been steadfast in holding onto the colder air past next weekend with a better angle for the Low. 

 Interesting times coming up, one that I hope brings a 80s style snow event to Cornwall and the whole of the snow starved south.

 

wayno 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards]

Let’s hope the league cup is staying down south too ???. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards]

Finally something to look forward to. Not only do we have some nice Dry weather to enjoy for the next week but also some more exciting early next week! I still Remember from the 80s what really snowy days are like and I’m beginning to wonder whether next week something big might unfold.?? Enjoy the ride guys 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Still the main action looks like happening up on Dartmoor tonight, radar looking good for it!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Isn’t it just. It’s all about that radar and of course that lamppost for waiting for them grains of snow to fall.  ? Fingers crossed guys!

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

I have the same concerns as most here and in full agreement that if it’s snow you want then head to The Moors! Otherwise it’s a waiting game but still great to see a possibility of snow for our area so early in Winter. 

 

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

You could be right, I guess not the easiest to plot are the tracks of such storms.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards]

Thunder and lightning here in Truro. Took me by surprise, wasn't expecting that 

[Model output discussion 25th Jan - The final third of winter beckons..]

At 138 we see the scandi high drifting further north and not sinking into Eastern Europe. A positive for me.