Mini tiger

So is it true the very latest thoughts are that the storm is likely to have south abit sparing us the worst winds and the strongest winds will be up the channel and northern coast of France. Do the latest models indicate this ?

Something nicely convective looking now appearing in the Western English Channel heading NE. Chances of this developing into Thundery rain in the early hours to the west of London ?

That worked . Come n move in for the summer but if your from ooop norf you had better bring your factor 75.

24 again today and a nice warm breeze at the moment. The temps may have even increased in the last hour to 25. This weather would have been a blessing in the run up to mid summer in June. There are even large cumulus clouds building this eve due to the heat and warmth not surprising as mid summer was just 6 or 7 weeks ago.

Well it was 25 yesterday afternoon here and 25 forecast for today too. Clear blue skies. Better than forecsast. With just under 8 weeks of summer left if it carries on like this ill be very happy . Could do with a little bit of rain as the soil is still parched.

26's and 27's in the south on sunny days. We've been spoilt with 28-32 for a long while. Some of these autumnal look posts are on the pessimistic side. As you say a slack flow, with long hours of sunshine leads to good diurnal and surface heating with comfortable nights after midnight. No sign of temps being in the mod teens on any charts which I would consider to be more autumnal. Anyone know what and where today's maxima was recorded ?

This is what great summers are made from. If that Azores High extension verifies in a weeks time, we could be looking at a further week of fine summery weather from Mon 5th. With temps in the south and SE typically around 26 to 28oC by day with mild to warm nights. The AzH extension is supported by a further AzH cell in situ all we need is pressure to rise over Scandi and this pattern could lock in and potentially give us a cracking first half of August for summer lovers. Very little evidence this evening to support a cool atlantic regime following the heat plume this week.

When is the 12z ECM due out ? Is it running late ?

Hi Frosty. Any chance of this the heatwave lasting 3 days in Surrey, i.e. until Sat evening, as big party planned outdoors. Would appreciated your take on the chances of this coming off.

Very interesting. Cloud base is drifing very slowly north or even NNW. from a southerly direction. Scud cloud forming now here but moving ENE from a WNW direction. Probably at about 2500 ft.

That must have been one ribbon of lightning across the whole of southern england west to Hants, by the sound of things... Frontal thunder... MORE rumbles in the far distance too now..

MASSIVE ribbon of cloud to cloud lightning right over the centre of Surrey. Come on you lot, someone must have copped some of that.. Looooooong rumble !!!