nicknacknoo

Not sure that this fax is too bad, a nice little slider along the channel will do nicely..... especially if it can pull in a better Easterly in front of it.No good if its heading north though!

It doesn't just tease though does it?!! It's a continual severe prod in the "snowballs"

Yes, and what is particularly nice is that these posters offer some reasoning behind their analysis. Not all members of the site are studying meteorology or climatology at degree+ level so it is nice to have some pointers in using the charts for prediction. Well done and thanks to those posters who do this.. including you TEITS

Any chance of a quick link to this John so us learners can more easily do our homework over the summer?

I'd trade all the previous runs for a chance at this one. Channel lows anyone?

Ah, but per chance to dream! Perhaps since nature seems to like to disappoint it's time for a little reverse psychology. Lets ramp up the spring warmth ala gav.

Indeed Steve, any chance of the cold pool to our NE being brought into the mix? FI i know! Nick

Agree with this... though strange because while looking at the run things looked a lot more promising up to circa T174 with a better uninterupted flow heading towards the north. Can someone with considerably more expertise please explain the reason for the divergence between the models (GFS 06Z and 12Z) from this point on?

Gavin., on 22 February 2013 - 16:47 , said: Nothing majorly cold from GFS tonight looking fairly zonal from later next week I'm in agreement with LS here, certainly not my definition of zonal. T300+ maybe.

One heck of a difference in deep FI though!

As i'ts again quiet at he moment. I notice i've spent the last 2 saturdays studying thickness levels, 528 dams and the hysdrostatic equation. I believe I may be turning into a sad git ! Could more experienced members tell me whethet this will: a) Verify b] Remain in FI

as stated previously, I'm new to this..... but honestly... what would you prefer? High to the north (current) lows to the south (Easterlyflow) or Highs to the south, lows to the north (westerly flow) Surely it's a no brainer as regards current synoptics!!!) Perhaps a little cold ramping can be allowed! Certaily as SM states, a little push from the south and we'll all be in Nirvanah (fergie grim land )

Strangley, temperature rising Currently 6c Southerly winds 93% humidity with dew point of 5.1c Barometer 988 falling slowly No snow chance here me thinks!

As its quiet here at the mo, I thought I'd sum up my first impressions as a newbie to the forum. 1) The lesser spotted GH has been absent without leave all season despite indications to the contrary 2) Fi charts that depict favourable cold outcomes never verify....... zonal patterns do 3) Horrible 'shortwaves' keep popping up to ruin our chances although I suspect that poor synoptics are allowing this to happen 4) This winter has been characterised by flimsy synoptics over the near continent and nasty persistent 'PV stuff' over the other side of the pond 5) Low heights to the west, no heights to the northwest and high lows to the east with impossible low lows to the centre. 6) The GFS is good in the short term... apart from when it isn't 7) The ECM is good in the long term...apart from when it isn't IB and G are true sun worshippers Heres hoping that the latest 18Z +252 verifies.... one of them's got to one day. Nick

Hi, new to the site. Could some one clarify ensembles, models and operational runs? Nothing 'too in-depth' but a better understanding would certainly help with my knowledge and understanding of the 'modelling' thread.

Evening all, I'm new to all of this but a keen enthusiast none the less. Has anyone got a brief synopsis (sorry) of the acronyms and technical terms you all use?. I know I can find most on the met sites but I sense also some 'forum specific' stuff.