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devon lad

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Posts posted by devon lad

  1. I've just read your initial response and I just don't understand. Your post simply doesn't fit P3s original post as a reply, it's like shouting at someone for suggesting an interesting topic of discussion. At first I thought you must have replied to the wrong post, but your post above appears to disprove that, so now I'm just plain confused - how could anyone take any kind of umbrage, or feel the need to make comments such as yours in response to such mild (borderline humerous) suggestions ???

    Hi PTFD

    You have obviously read my post this evening to P3s response ...... in fact you have quoted it. As I said ....... when I get more time to look at whether I got it all wrong (and the majority of replies seem to suggest that I may have) then I will send a full response.

    I have also said that if have misinterpreted P3s post then I will apologise. Matter closed.

    dl

  2. Good morning, dl. Please explain yourself, at least. Unles you can, I will be tempted to conclude that person who indulges in insults and offers no substantial comment is themselves rather sad and disiluusioned, and that such a person is not going to argue becsuse they couldn't construct an argument in the first place, and wouldn't listen to another's point of view anyway. I trust the members of NW are sufficiently intelligent to decide for themselves whether I am a fair dealer and a listener, and will treat your inane post aprropriately.

    Perhaps at least you could explain why you think my post indicates that I have any desire to gamble with the planet?

    I suspect you may have misinterpreted the intention of my post, but I can't tell, because you haven't said anything about it yet.

    You can get into a fight if you want to dl, but you'll get what you give and a bit more besides. Cut the drivel, say something meaningful, or go away. It's your choice, now.

    :)P

    Edit: potty prof; I lost it years ago. make a point, please...

    :)P

    Good evening P3

    Your initial post reveals that you intended to 'stimulate some response' and you may be upset that you did!

    I will gladly enter into a dialogue with you (not a fight .... it's not my style) but due to commitments it won't be for a few days. Of course it is possible that I may have 'misinterpreted the intention of your post' as you point out .... and if that's the case then I will have no hesitation in apologising.

    Take care.

    dl

  3. I just wrote this for my blog, and it occurred to me that somebody on NW might find it useful. It's also an important question and I hope will stimulate some response:

    Any thoughts?

    :)P

    Hi P3

    Yes, lots of thoughts ..... but the main one is what a sad disillusioned person you must be. I am not going to argue with you because .... I am guessing ....... that you are the sort of person that wouldn't listen if I did.

    However .,… I take no offence ……. take good care, and no doubt ….. you will continue to gamble with the future of this beautiful planet and those who are due to take over after we have left it.

    I sincerely hope you are right and I am wrong because if I am ….. no problem …… but if you are?

    dl

  4. Hi Torn

    The only Funnel Cloud I have ever seen was in the same area as you are - but in those days digital cameras did not exist!

    Well done, although I can't make the FC out on your pics because of the quality, I am not suprised that you have seen a FC as here on the Blackdowns (not that far away) we have had 2 showers today and the rain has been unbelievably heavy (with very large raindrops) when they have occured.

    dl

    Hi folks, well an intresting day weather wise in my neck of the woods and this subject deserved its own thread I thought :lol:

    Been out in Brean most of the morning with lovely warm sunshine, then this little beauty showed up across the bay over/near Bridgwater (possible Cannington/Combwich?)

    As far as I can make out it looked very much like a FC dropping out of a very stormy sky - it was the only torrential looking shower in the area.

    Please bear in mind I caught it on my mobile phone camera - although it has a 3.2 megapixal camera but it only has digital zoom.

    What do you folks reckon? obviously it was to far away to observe any rotation but it did drop very suddenly before retreating back up into the cloud within a minute or so.

    post-3345-1183909289_thumb.jpg

    This was the storm the 'possible' FC dropped from

    post-3345-1183909345_thumb.jpg

    post-3345-1183909387_thumb.jpg

    and these two photos show what i believe to be a FC

    I must add that no other scud was visable below the cloud line if you know what I mean.

    (As I mentioned earlier the camera was at full digital zoom so quality is very grainy in parts)

  5. Can I just make an observation.

    These threads always tend to get personal and nasty at some point. Now, I'm fine with everyone having their own opinion, but let's face it; if you don't believe in AGW in some form, then you are clearly in the minority, and you are clearly going against some pretty comprehensive and compelling science. That's not my opinion, that's fact. So, if you want to argue against it, I suggest you come up with some evidence, and not simply accuse those that do believe in it of being brain-washed, or a nutcase, or whatever.

    Darkman, you can't seriously expect respect if you go and say to someone as obviously knowledgeable as Devonian that they're a "typical environmentalist" can you? It shows such huge bias that it is surely self defeating? It is also the sort of insulting thing you yourself are claiming to be unfair.

    Argue the facts, nothing else.

    Well said - thankyou OON.

    dl

  6. Was snowing moderatelly on the Blackdown Hills in North Devon at 4.20 this morning. The temperature was 0.4C, dewpoint - 1.8C and humidity 85%.

    The temperature continued to fall to a minimum of 0.1C at 5.30am ...... when the dew point was -1.9C and the humidity 87% so it's looks as if we had a good hour or so of snow.

    dl

  7. The forecaster on Radio 4's PM just said that there was some 'uncertainty' in the models, but that he was giving a 'heads up' for a substantial threat of snow for Southern Britain. Wait for listen again to become available and fast-forward to the last 5 minutes to hear it.

    Hi Goatherd

    Some uncertainty is a gross understatement.

    Let us be warned that there are any numbers of scenarios that could occur over the next week (or possibly 2 weeks). We are caught in a very unusual set up and I am not going to post GFS, MO or any other SL charts, ensembles, 850 hts, dew points, details of 128 dams or anything else to demonstrate that those who have studied such situations in the past have more than a gut feeling that almost anything can happen (except for a heat wave that is!). One factor is that although we have patterns/records etc that indicate what has happened in the past when we have been in a similar situation, global warming means they are not reliable in forecasting what is going to happen for these shores anymore. They are a clue ….. but as we have learnt these last few winters ….. they are very unreliable.

    There could be great snow events, there could be almost nothing of the white stuff we all enjoy in winter. In a weeks time we could experience relatively mild SW to West winds, fairly cold Northerlies or bitter easterlies. The air could end up a tad too dry, despite the temperatures - or much too damp ..... depending on where it's coming from.

    The charts are struggling, the weather forecasters are getting braver and as each GFS produces its pretty pictures we all go wow, or blast or say something similar!

    Read the posts on here and enjoy (as I do) but all the top weather kiddies and kiddesses will, if they are honest, admit that the outlook for tomorrow evening, let alone a weeks time is a nightmare to forecast this time around.

    Hope nobody says ‘is it going to snow in ?’ !

    dl

  8. Translated into English this is:

    Models show meaningful differences with individual shortwaves within the Northern Continental United States and Eastern Pacific mean-toughs. High uncertainty with these features, not likely to be resolved satisfactorily until the short range time frame.

    Not sure this bit really applies to us yet, though their thoughts about the Atlantic definitely do, confirming the 12z to be too quick to develop the shortwaves.

    The 12z is a computor model that attempts to translate all the masses of info it recieves. It's not bad, in fact pretty good ..... but it's not as good as Homo sapiens.

    dl

  9. well said, my thoughts entirely.

    Hi mushy & others who are having a go at excited folk. For once (and boy haven't we had to wait this Winter) there truly looks like something to get excited about this week. At least excited folk are not looking at GFS 120 plus this time. Yes, everyone won't get it but lets have some fun - things are looking pretty good this time.

    Of course there is a lot of excitement - hence so many folk on this site this evening.

    dl

  10. Its funny that all the tv forecasts ive watched today usualy give pressure charts up to wednesday? Today they went up monday!

    There not even sure whats going to happen from tuesday. We saw how things changed so fast 3 sundays ago on the 18z run.

    All to play for.

    Funny kippure

    I was amazed that the tv forcast today mentioned the possibility of snow so far ahead of the 'possible' event. Then when I checked cefax I saw snow and sleet for many places in the uk from the Midlands upwards on Wednesday. Remarkably early forcasts from such sources. Worries me - in the past such early warnings have killed off any prospects!

    dl

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