[South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14]

It's fantastic that the moon is bright and momentarily out then covered, then out again. Causing quite a fascinating light show in garden.Great evening and winter of weather. Albeit I want people to stay safe.

Thing is when the moon appears you see the damage, next time it pops out here i'll be minus another fence panel.

[Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards]

sorry not meant to be rude but is it possible to write a post in simple English please?

Have to agree here, my spelling isn't great but there does seem a lot of strange worded posts these days.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 05/02/14 16z -------------->]

Doesn't seem to be to much on the radar coming in just yet for tomorrow, any thoughts?

I was thinking the same, not a bad thing I guess though.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 05/02/14 16z -------------->]

Thanks Joe, it is somewhat confusing even to my occasional scientific mind. As someone who travelled up the A4 towards Oxford on one day earlier this year, I was stunned to see the flooded land either side of that main road. A few days back it had descended somewhat, however now, it must be in the same state once again I bet.

You mean A34.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 05/02/14 16z -------------->]

Getting rather loud outside at times, winds getting worse, as most others are reporting it goes calm for a while then bang it lets rip.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 05/02/14 16z -------------->]

My god the sun is out here and it's like Spring.

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

Yes, I was. As I mentioned somewhere yesterday, I'm using "Rao's theory of quantum acceleration". 

That's good then, starting to think the world was going bonkers.

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

Oh dear, it must be Saturday...

Either that or someone has had way to much Cider, I'm starting to think I'm normal.

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

941mb? I assume that means winds of 941mph are heading towards the UK. That's probably hurricane force or something isn't it? 

I guess you are taking the pee with that statement?

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

No but I was just look them out with the European Windstorm Centre they do have a Beaufort scale 12 is 140mph winds.

Think he means Kph not Mph.

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

^^^ Oh I know Rich hence I have never taken the bait to any of his previous posts but this was a step too far. Im chilled

It does wear thin I must admit mate!! Glad you've chilled!!

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/02/14]

Lol!!!

Couldn't resist that one, sorry!

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

He's known for it so don't worry to much.

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/02/14]

Been woken by the wind, seems to have picked up a fair bit since midnight!

To much Curry!?!

[Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards]

Yes I would agree with that and have posted as much for some time but of course Tamara may be right that it all simply gets "washed out" by a reorganised Canadian PV.

I was simply surprised by the weight she gave that option.

 

It has been a dreadful winter not just for the lack of cold but of course for the relentless wind and rain - even so their is plenty for the model enthusiast to get stuck into over the next week or two albeit not all fun, especially for those suffering the consequences of the charts we find so fascinating.

 

GFS ensembles 

 

NW England (snow risk up to 70% on the 11th, if only they were worth a fig!)

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=231&y=38

 

SE England

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=295&y=126

 

Central England (pressure) Good agreement out to the 11th then all hell breaks loose.

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=246&y=94&run=12&runpara=0&type=1&ext=1

11th then all hell breaks loose?? What do you mean??

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

None of the weather sites are picking this feature up that I can tell, although things may change?Generally my experience is that there would be hints on these weather sites but I can't see anything on the ones I've searched...

Check the BBC Weather web site, it's mentioned in the long range forecast that it may hit the UK.

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14]

Guess we now know they follow the ECM model cause I would doubt the met mentioning anything about the storm on Monday at the min. It doesn't exist in most of the models.

It's on the  BBC weather web site now, there's a video talking about the jet stream and it's on there.

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14]

hi rich

 

when the fax charts get in line i will worry

 

but people saying 1987 comparisons which i saw earlier were silly

 

also bear in mind i post for the south east not elsewhere

 

the long range will hint not warn

 

that low is not concrete yet

 

and i reckon the track will change

 

even if it exists

 

check ukmo its not on there either

True, it always changes, upgrades/downgrades and to be honest I try not to read to many scary thoughts on here as to what might happen, as for the BBC Weather well I tend to go with them even if they get it wrong.

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14]

gfs 18z at 144

 

 

no low there either

I wouldn't get to happy, check the BBC Weather forecast (long range video) and they're warning about it already.

[Atlantic Storms February 2014]

The ECM is the only one to show it and at 144 hours it could disappear on the next run. The ECM didn't have it from it's previous 00z run so it could be wrong. None of the other models show it either so at the moment it goes with little support.

The storm for Mon/Tue has been mentioned on the BBC Weather (long range) forecast, they're saying it's one to watch.

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14]

The question is how much did last nights storm downgrade since 6 days ago? Or did it upgrade?

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->]

Just stopped raining here, and as for the wind well that didn't really get going in these parts.

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14]

Even the TSSA union is out not just Bob Crow's RMT. The TSSA did not go on strike from 1926 to 2010.

 

Couple it with train problems due to the weather and tomorrow is a day to stay in if you can.

Being a train driver I could put a few words in here but then this is a weather forum and not a who gets paid what chat site....stay nice folks!

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->]

The passage of the back edge of the Front is likely to hit our patch PB between Midnight and 1am I would imagine, this is when the peak gusts should arrive. I only expect isolated 50mph to 60mph gusts inland but in saying that, these would still be capable of causing damage.

Thanks for the timings!!

[South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14]

Because then the trains use less electricity and so it saves money, but they have a half legitimate reason for doing it.

Same with the storm between xmas and new year where they didn't run any trains for almost a day, even though the weather wasn't bad at all.

Excuse=Reason=Saves money

Not the real reason, I've hit a few trees in my time driving trains and it's not nice, it's not like a car where you can at least try to avoid it, with a train you just sit there looking at the thing across the tracks getting bigger and bigger and hope it's not to big that it crushes the drivers cab and you.