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Shunter

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    METO UK Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    METO Update : - WOW !

    UK Outlook for Monday 29 Dec 2008 to Wednesday 7 Jan 2009:

    There is high confidence for high pressure to continue to dominate as we go into 2009, although with an increasing risk of wintry precipitation around some of the peripheries as time goes on. It will be mainly dry through the first week, with variable cloud but also sunny spells. By Friday 2nd January the first incursions are suggested, either wintry showers in eastern districts or more likely a spell of sleet and snow fringing southern coastal counties of England. During the second week the risk of risk of sleet or snow increases across southern and eastern Britain, with freshening easterly winds. It will feel raw in the south at first, and again later as the easterly winds again increase. Temperatures, generally below normal, with frosts both morning and night.

    Updated: 1129 on Wed 24 Dec 2008

    Todays Weather And General Weather Chat

    in Weather reports

    Posted

    Interesting Press Release from the Met Office :-

    Christmas is Coming

    Mild, wet and windy conditions over much of the UK this weekend look set to give way to something more seasonal during the Christmas week.

    Fog and frost are increasingly likely during next week, although a dry theme to the weather means it is unlikely that any of us in the UK will see snow at Christmas.

    Forecasters at the Met Office are expecting areas of dense and, in some areas, freezing fog to last all day as we head towards the festive period.

    After a mild weekend, temperatures are expected to fall again and could remain close to freezing where fog persists.

    METO UK Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    The Meto further update seems to follow the 06z GFS lead ( a bit of an about turn on yesterdays forecast ) :-

    UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2008 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2008:

    It now looks like plenty of cloud and outbreaks of rain will spread up from the south across most parts next Sunday with more showery weather in the far north. There are indications that the weather should then become rather more settled next week, especially across England and Wales, with high pressure building from the southwest expected to bring largely dry conditions through the rest of the week, although overnight frost and fog are likely. Further north conditions are expected to remain more unsettled with a brisk westerly flow bringing cloud and spells of rain, especially in the west. Temperatures should be around normal to mild generally, but it may become cooler in the south later in the period.

    Updated: 1145 on Tue 15 Jan 2008

    18z model discussion - models pah, just use the 5 min radar!

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    http://ukie.accuweather.com/ukie/laminate floori-europe-blog.asp?

    Not sure if this has already been posted but Joe B******* on Accuweather seems to think Northern Europe is in line for a cold late Winter / Early Spring with the demise of El Nino. This would seem to coincide with the METO late winter forecast.

    Incidentally wasn't the METO seasonal update meant to be published testerday ??

    06z model discussions - wet and windy soon?!

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    The ECM remains a puzzle, is it ahead or is it behind the game? That is the question at the moment. It's just possible that ECM is actually ahead of the game, even though it appears to be lagging behind.

    Very good point, this would be a major victory for one or other model as far as Eoropean forecasting is concerned.

    As for WIB well fortunes always "favour the form horse" :)

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