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Everything posted by draztik
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
draztik replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
@Summer Sun it’s up to 19.2C as per latest met office update. -
New UK January and Scotland winter temperature record
draztik replied to MattStoke's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Extraordinary! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
draztik replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sigh. no context. Just a photo? Pls elaborate for new and existing members. -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
draztik replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For Ireland, in particular, these are the setups they can only dream about. West is best and any breakdown is post 14+ days by the looks of it. Great to see it! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
draztik replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It is the same year in, year out. If this does fail, give it a week or so... and they'll be back for the next great adventure. I ignore the thread for the most part at this time of year. -
The positive SST anomaly around the UK and France .... is this a driver to what we're seeing? And Im wondering if this is why we are seeing these strong & never ending positive heights indicated for autumn & winter 22/23.
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This is what the seasonal ECM is forecasting for Autumn. Sadly, the horror show has a while to run yet if this is anywhere near to panning out as shown. Also, JMA & Met office also showing similar to this. I suppose this is why they have been suggesting this could linger into next year re drought.
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Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
draztik replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
draztik replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Time and time again, the GFS is routinely binned for showing Synoptics that look ‘suspect’… however, we have all been here before. It’s the golden rule of model viewing.. esp w/ regards to the GFS. Once it picks up a trend, and builds on it with each successive run… you know something is afoot. Hopefully next time when it does this again, it won’t be so unceremoniously binned. However, I won’t hold my breath!