Shell Rawcliffe
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North West England - Weather Chat - Spring 2016 Onwards
Shell Rawcliffe replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
We managed 28 still at 6 o'clock in Blackpool, not sure what it was prior to that because I didn't check, that's in my app still not sure how accurate it is. -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
Shell Rawcliffe replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yeah, from Blackpool can only see the back of the cell. I think a side view may have been better. -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
Shell Rawcliffe replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Not too sure if this counts it is even the type of cloud your after, took it because it was unusual the updraft seemed to climb then the blanket formed on top and it then began to flatten out. This was on the Preston cell. -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
Shell Rawcliffe replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
Shell Rawcliffe replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Skies are becoming more unstable to my se, probably over towards Manchester and the Pennines. its been a toasty day here still 28c now according to my app, not sure how accurate it is but it's been gorgeous today not a cloud in the sky all day. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
I would think they will as major changes like that to the area will need constant monitoring. It is quite amazing how this keeps changing and evolving on a day to day basis. It will provide so much new information to go through and learn from for future eruptions in the area. And not just for the scientist either, but for everyone who has any kind of interest in volcanoes. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
According to this it was measured yesterday with a radar altimeter aircraft. The rest of the report is below. http://avd.is/is/?p=357 -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Amazing video and just to think its a smaller volcano, what could happen is this volcano blows its top. Quite like the music Take it thats what happens when you mix magma with ice/water Spectacular. Simon Redfern â€@Sim0nRedfern 12m @Mousehole1 local scientists are perplexed and worried - unprecedented movement of material beneath surface Seems that this has got some people concerned about what may happen next. Also looking at the IMO site i noticed a group of earthquakes at another volcano. Anything to note? -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Gisli Olafsson â€@gislio 5m No signs of #eruption or geothermal activity in #Bardarbunga caldera itself. Gisli Olafsson â€@gislio 2m Scientists believe deflation of #Bardarbunga caldera is due to magma moving towards NE along chamber towards #Holuhraun So maybe we will see an uptick in activity later on. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Gisli Olafsson â€@gislio 4m #Bardarbunga cauldron has now lowered 15m due to caldera bottom deflation. Largest ever deflation measured in Iceland. Latest from Twitter -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
http://www.ruv.is/frett/%E2%80%9Eeins-og-ad-vera-einn-a-tunglinu%E2%80%9C High quality video filmed from Day to Night of the eruption. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
An extract from an article on Volcano cafe. Its about the potential eruption at the caldera and the ring faults. Since the appropriate Icelandic authorities have today publicly mentioned the possibility of a large, acidic and explosive eruption at Bardarbunga, we now feel free to inform you that this possibility has been discussed by the Dragons, behind closed doors, for well over a week. The key information comes from this official IMO graphic: The first premise is that earthquakes do not occur in molten rock. Nor do they form a clearly visible ring shape such as the above except under one circumstance – they do so around a body of liquid, in this case magma. A conservative estimate places the size of this body of magma at 8 km diameter, height unknown but most likely on the order of 3 – 6 km, depth also unknown but relatively shallow. Using simple geometry, 4 x Pi x r3 / 3 yields a volume of ~250 cubic kilometres for a sphere, but for our flattened body something on the order of 125 – 140 cu km. The link is here http://volcanocafe.wordpress.com/2014/09/03/bardarbunga-update-20140903/ -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Thanks for the reply, This thread is great for improving my understanding of the complex and dynamic things going on. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
there's that orange speck from last night again. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Gisli Olafsson â€@gislio 1h Scientists warn that this cycle of eruptions can last until next year or longer. Looks like observers could be in it for the long haul. provide a great opportunity to study and learn from this eruption and events preceding this. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
is it just me or are the EQ'S now becoming more concentrated on 3 areas. 1) the caldera itself 2) in the extrusion to the north of the glacier 3) at the northern edge of the dyke. with No3, could it be a result of less pressure in the dyke as the magma now has an exit route, or that there could still be magma extending the dyke making it longer. Just noticed when looking at the 3d bulge maps for the last 16hrs. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Courtesy of Twitter. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Can see what looks like steam on cam 2 but its covered by dust thats been whipped up by the storm. nothing mentioned on the IMO yet. Also several EQ's located at around the caldera in the last couple of hours including 2 M3.6 Would be interesting to see exactly what is going on behind that dust but i do not think we will be able to until the winds change direction. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
yep rainfall could be a problem, Laufbali in the central highlands forecast 115mm tomorrow and an extra 20mm on Monday. And Karahnjukar on the other side is forecast 0mm. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
Thanks.. thought about it for a couple of days since the low was forecast there, but could not really find anything to prove or disprove what would happen, thought I'd ask as there are many more knowledgeable people in here than me. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
This might sound like a silly question.. If the magma chamber is no longer full and is emptying in to the dyke, then this would leave an empty space between the mountain and the bottom of the magma chamber, presumably filled with gas and air, so when the low pressures system forecast to hit overnight does would the presumably higher pressure inside the chamber try to adjust to the lesser outer atmospheric presser caused by the low pressure. Similar to our ears popping as we change altitude. What would the most likely affect be? -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
there is 2 now cant be a car surley.. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
The cam keeps panning left and right now so cant guess any kind of distance to see if it is a car or not. -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
yeah thats it.. lost the link now, typical... -
iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity
Shell Rawcliffe replied to lorenzo's topic in Space, Science & nature
theres a orange glow on the bada 1 cam on mila... could be nothing though.. http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/ very small but there.