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Everything posted by Skullzrulerz
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Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite unfortunate it's doesn't follow the 00z aka pub run but was bound to happen as it was a outlier Hopefully we get a clearer picture this evening -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Skullzrulerz replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It was clear as day this would happen even with the northern hemisphere profile the issue is the lack of cold air You don't need to be expert to figure this one out Any postive takes? -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And unfortunately these are the type of comments (nothing against you @Scott Ingham that discourages some users not to use the thread anymore I don't see nothing wrong with looking for a warm and dry outlook then there is to a cold and snowy outlook ? I'm not sure why people can't respect people's others liking of the weather and each to their own Before the 12z outputs start at current there seems to be a general trend of turning milder for a time and then perhaps a dry period which could be quite frosty sure it's not a winter wonderland but to the last few winters we had it's a lot better then staying indoors while someone does a rain dance -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cold rain alert There's no cold pool -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I was wondering the same thing all of this of snow but yet no cold pool ? -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But by no means it's a guarantee heck we could have this synoptics for the rest of December and doesn't pay off I would rather would have it sooner then later myself -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Reminds me of The day after tomorrow film besides all the flooding -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It won't matter if we can't get the other blocks in place We could still have a strong pv and have a decent cold spell Could very well be but then we have the issue of time and a ssw isn't guarantee to work in our favour if it happens -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I must say it's definitely quiet in here especially with some Looks like the Atlantic will win out one way or another sadly this was the case in quite a few long term winter forecasts -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How accurate are these charts? -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You're definitely right in that regard It is nice to have a bit of snowfall but unfortunately most will be on the wrong end of marginal even by going by how active this thread has been today per yesterday It's been the case people get excited over a one set of runs and then you're disappointed then you have a group of people "hyping" said runs Hopefully once we got a cold pool in place we will be in a better position -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not a good outlook for coldie fans this morning Where's the cherry picking where you need it It does seem however if you're lucky you may get a bit of snowfall tomorrow so make the most of it -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you're really that excited for cold rain and a bit of sleet go for it And as several people have already said unfortunately there have been some concern that there no signs of a Greenland high and there's only so much you can do from that before eventually going back to that norm On the plus side it's good to see that they may be some promise for a Scandinavian high later on but it's in Fantasy land Unless it's gets closer to the reliable timeframe there's no point in looking -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure if you seen the ECM snow charts I think it's inaccurate It's own a league on its own in regards to its snowfall and thinks that wet rain is snow Anything to keep people's hopes up though! -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly I would love to see a change but at the moment I don't think it's going to happen It's not cold enough -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Must be getting a bit desperate if all of a sudden the best model is Harmonie... GFS puts us back into a south westerly flow once this "cold spell" to even call it -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cornwall is incredibly rare for any snowfall so I would take even a dusting I live just outside of St Austell and somewhat on higher ground 200m -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite jealous as I'm just sightly out of that area -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like the Far South west could see a chance of snowfall if else Though of course we can't favour over one or the other just because it's more snowfall etc One model will prove to be right -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What was the ECM showing? -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is this for Friday? -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Didn't realize someone asked for a barbecue this Christmas -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's unfortunate that sadly in basic terms it's just not cold enough for widespread snowfall on the majority of models It's been hyped as that though Would definitely liked to be proved wrong and see some amazing snowfall in the coming days -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's always best to keep you're expectations low especially with the uncertainty I know where I'm placing my bets too... -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
Skullzrulerz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Unfortunately these "snow depth" especially at that range is quite unreliable but by no means it could be right Get to around 1-2 days before that said event and check them I don't think it's going to be anywhere near this