Ross Andrew Hemphill
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Posts posted by Ross Andrew Hemphill
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So what's happening with this cold snap?? will it snow in the central belt??
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Anyone know any good Meteorology books to read to get me started??
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don't worry you will pick it up quick once you get used to it and you are doing the right thing asking if you are not sure as it is the only way you will learn.
Thanks a lot.
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its a spread on dam
lower dam is lower heights and higher dam is higher hieghts
the colours are for how much it changes from each run on the ensembles
so scandanavia has a spread of 20 so it could be in a range of that lower or higher than the op run
meaning some have lower dam there some have higher and that's where the spread comes from.
the less spread the better modelled it is in that area the more spread the more unreliable the output is in that area.
Okay Thanks... Wow weather is very complicated! especially when your this age!
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The GEFS ensemble is interesting. According to the spread chart below the solutions over Greenland are relatively coherent, with the greatest uncertainty to our NE and W. These look like areas of low pressure and the overall spread of the GEFS solutions, at least to my high, is signalling high pressure over Greenland. I'd take a Greenland High over a Scandy high any day so this is good news overall.... though I still find it puzzling in the light of other stratospheric signals. Perhaps once again we have the models underestimating the influence of the Strat: this has been discussed before - will be interesting to see how this November pans out. Either way this next fortnight is a fascinating one - no boring start to winter this year for sure!
Spread here at T+384
What is going on in this chart??
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I really hope that the PV splits and sits over the UK. I've always wanted to experience severe cold and really, really deep snow. And living in the Clyde Valley you don't get over about 10cm of snow in the snowier days. Its been severe before but not in the 14 years I've been here. 2009/10 was a treat though!!
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asahikawa,_Hokkaido#Climate - 25 feet of snow per year in Asahikawa Japan
WOW that would be perfect!!!
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no i live in Canada and get Russian like winters most years...not much fun TBH
Whys that??? U not a coldie??
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Would love Russian-like winter to evolve.. Anyone else agree???
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We actually had a piece of the PV over the top of us in the winter of 2009/10 and December 2010.
Wouldn't mind another winter like that of 09/10
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it can vary but i would expect minus double figures!!!!
Sounds good... I think
If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow.
A lot of it I suspect!
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Would certainly be chilly!
How bad would it be??
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Only looked at about 7 or 8 so far and only out to 180 so bare with me but it looks like some cracking GEFS members, a few develop a really potent wave very similar to 8th Dec 1990.
What was the weather like that day??? Before my time...
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you will need to turn the heating on max!!!!
How cold you talking??
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Does anyone know what would happen if the PV splits and a part of it sits right over the UK?
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No idea what it's thoughts are
OK, still all to play for yet, very early day's yet and trends yet to fully show.
Thanks for that
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Hi, I'm new to all of this weather forecasting stuff, I'm only fourteen so.. Can someone explain this winters thoughts???
Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
It snowed here last night very heavy for about 5 mins. about 2cms and its still here!!