DELETED
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Forecast for Saudi Arabia instead.
Haha would be a lot easier!
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Well it has felt like we have been living in South Australia (in the summer) for the last 3 months so at least a bit of variety is creeping in.
Very true. not enjoying this winter atm. really hope we get a decent summer. DRY!!
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The Shard rises above London's pea-souper: Roads are clogged and flights grounded as thick freezing fog shrouds much of Britain
Looks like we are living in Beijing !!
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You can always make a wild guess
sooner or later it could come true...haha do you mean like Mr James Madden
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I was just thinking and i have never really looked up about it but is there anyway to predict a hot summer?
it will be nice !! love the summer and im getting bored of this winter already.
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No snow just rain again
hi there i dont believe so according the the latest runs but who knows. just hopping for a warm summer!!
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It has never failed to get snow here by the third week of January in my lifetime[since 1968],I guess that is quite exceptional!
ever since i can remember i have always had snow either at the end of january or february without fail.
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Quiet sun ??
http://www.bbc.co.uk...onment-25743806
"This means that less UV radiation hits the stratosphere - the layer of air that sits high above the Earth. And this in turn feeds into the jet stream - the fast-flowing air current in the upper atmosphere that can drive the weather."
"The era of solar inactivity in the 17th Century coincided with a period of bitterly cold winters in Europe."
Any comments??
Thats very interesting! thanks for he post.
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I know it has been mild thus far but I'm trying to stay positive. Remember 2011 to 2012? December and January were very mild months, but in late January to early February we suddenly got a cold plunge from Scandinavia. At the same time low-pressure off of the Atlantic bumped into the cold air on February 4-5 and gave us 10-25cm of snow in some places. So just because we are in mid-January doesn't mean it's all over because most of our snow and cold comes in February and even March and April in some years and plus, next week looks much cooler than this week.
Cant agree more i hope people dont write it off. Theres still lots of time to turn this poor showing around.
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I was also hoping for pony but in the end I just got whatever Santa left under the tree.
Maybe you should have a word with santa.
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Latest runs at 384
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I would take the winter climate near the Arctic circle all year around, no spiders, no moths, no flies, no hot sweats, chest pains, shortness of breath, no dizziness, the only thing good about summer is when you are parched - a pint goes down beautifully, this will be my only post on this thread though as I cannot change those things so its pointless, all you can do is hope for weather to be favourable to your tastes in the seasons, the seasons are there and that's that!!!
Haha fair enough you seem to have listed enough pains for it to be a valid point! i also love the winter for this reason! just miss the barbecues!
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Summer!! Parties, BBQs, beach, cycling, holidays, warm evenings, cricket.
Sounds amazing im already wanting it!!
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Latest runs at 10hpa, 30hpa and 100hpa.
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Hi there i have just checked the Temps at 10hpa and 30hpa and have noticed that the warming has extended further south? what does this indicate.
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Latest runs on netweather.
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I was just thinking about my favourite season and why, and was wondering on other peoples opinions.
Mine is Winter!
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Ben,
The warming is in the upper Stratosphere. If it does actually occur by the end of the month then the downwelling can take anything from a couple of days to a few weeks. So a date of around 10th February is my guess before colder weather arrives.
That is of course if the warming verifies.
Thanks for the clarification! When will we be able to know for sure ? thanks. im not trying to annoy you i swear.
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yes ben - it is
Thats great! sorry im not too hot on this. If we were to have a cold spell from this what sort of timescale will we be looking at. 1st week of Feb ? thanks
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GEFS 06z continues the trend, now reaching max. -14 deg. with ensemble mean at 384h.
And the control ramps it up to +11. Note that this is the bias corrected control run. I couldn't plot the bias-corrected ensemble mean above, because it is not available yet and I am late for work.
Regards.
So the warming is still showing ?!
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Hi there i had noticed about 9 oclock this morning the warming at 10hpa had slowed down, but i believe the runs are now being up dated ?
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Mega ramp from latest GFS.
Immediate signs are seen on the trop.
Looks fantastic!!
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Strongest warming yet now being forecasted at the 1mb level on the 06z run.
This does look to be showing up quite consistently now.
Fingers and toes crossed!!! but its looking strong
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Agreed mate, just a bit of good natured banter, a bit of over moderation I think.
And to whichever person who reported me I am not a previously banned member.
Worlds gone mad!! Cant even voice you opinion
sooner or later it could come true...
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2013/2014
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
i swear you have a bigger brain than stephen hawking. Beast