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garylaverick

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    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    There must be an outside chance just due to the fact its moved west on each of the last 4 runs. It's westward progression seems to be determined by timing and how much inroads the Atlantic low can make.

    I don't want to raise anyone's hopes but I feel its worth keeping an eye on in the absence of anything else noteworthy, it's a fine balancing act and could go either way. 

    • Like 1

    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by garylaverick

    22 minutes ago, NickR said:

    Can anyone tell me (again, this is a genuine question) what it is about the air mass/air flow that means this sort of organised shower system is currently barrelling in and towards Kent, where they are looking at another 20cm overnight, whereas here we haven't had anything like this?

    image.thumb.png.015102f2a432cf86f71c4863f88f62c4.png

    Funnel effect when the wind comes from the right direction, you can see the bottleneck between Dover and Calais. The pressure is also lower down there as they're further from the centre of the high so more instability. 

    • Like 1

    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I think to sum up this cold spell in one word I would chose frustrating. We've had all the right pieces at all the wrong times and it just never hooked up to the extent it could have for us. Don't get me wrong I'd take this over mild drab any day but I'm afraid to say my craving for a proper snow event remains unfulfilled at present. Saying all that, I'll be straight back at the smallest hint of new potential!

    • Like 1

    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by garylaverick

    Signs of the system that's due to dip in to the North Sea tomorrow appearing on the latest sat image, this is what will cut off our NE'ly feed. It'll be worth keeping an eye on the track of this system as even though it's not forecast to make landfall that could change depending on the progress of the Atlantic low which are famously difficult to predict in situations where there's embedded cold.

    2006247144_anim_vis(1).thumb.gif.7a6fa6e6cb4c95e237d8d3eff5c0ef22.gif

    • Like 1

    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Tucka20 said:

    I think the MetOffice are having a laugh with their wind forecast for this evening into tomorrow!

    image.png

    There's a system dipping in to the north sea from the north and then doing a u turn and going back out of the north which is why it's all over! I'm keeping my eye on it as it wouldn't take much of a course change to give the whole east coast a massive dumping. Sadly it's currently being modelled to stay out at sea. 

    Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

    in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    22 minutes ago, NickR said:

    A huge waste of synoptics that don't come around very often, then, basically.

    Certainly, it's been a close but no cigar setup that would have only taken a few minor tweaks to deliver the goods. The crux of the issue for me is that the air came from eastern Europe instead of the arctic so was inherently more stable, but isn't it the fact that it doesn't always come off that keeps us coming back for more?

    • Like 2
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