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Everything posted by marksp
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well that will do me fine living 8 miles south of chez, haha. this has always had a classic 80s feel, cold air in situ, really cold at surface, systems coming in from the Atlantic with lots of PPN hopefully, and readily turning to snow, especially here. its just do the systems bump into the cold air, then slide away south east, grind to a halt, then drop south, ride over it, or under haha, what am I saying haha. it will be fun to radar watch. but I will be watching to see if the projected system has enough energy to get up to the North Midlands, as we know alot of posters think it might fall away south, but I hope not. as a side note I have family coming down from Leeds Christmas Eve 8pm and some coming up from London, both hoping to travel back to Leeds on Boxing day afternoon, so that could be interesting.
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
marksp replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
well thats the first time in a long time I will not view the GFS model after 96h. if it keeps placing bowling ball lows like that, whats the point. I don't think I have ever seen them come off, so if it cannot model the Atlantic at 96h then the rest of the run cannot not be serious. I mean jet stream looks punchy from 48 out to 96h, but in all reality a round bowling ball low, not buying it, unless more experience folk on here can explain these bowling ball lows that GFS keeps throwing out, onto the EMC. -
Not very often I watch the models come out like this, probalbly never !but ECM looking good, hell MP beat me to it haha love charts to compare, all looks steady tonight, roll on 18z
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great day again. VID_20211128_151726406.mp4
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
marksp replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thats a chart full of promise, I too have waited watching the Atlantic this past few months, not really livened up much , more knowledgable could probable explain. This weekends storm came down from the north, not west or south westerly very unusually. Todays snow fest appeared short term. I will be watching the ECM with some optimism looking for some height rises North East, as long as the Atlantic can be kept quite, theres some hope. -
still snowing moderate with some heavy bursts. As afternoon gone on, its got better. cars now struggling on the estate. son in law has another 10 to 12 cm, with another 1 to 2 hours of ppn to come, he is at 320 m though
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full on snow, hills have disappeared into a milky haze, great bonus, day time snow in Nov. when its cleared, gonner freeze, and hand around
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0.5c, dp -5, plenty of ppn around, and day time snow on , two days consecutive and its November !!
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its coming, sky turned from beautiful blue to milky white. maybe light at first, before heavy stuff hits, hopefully, still have 75% snow cover, 10 to 12cms on hills, and very icy, gonner be an ice day in some spots
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sometimes this is the best feeling, knowing the snow is on the way, radar returns look great, good reports from other members, temp is 1c, dp is ok i mean the anticipation is a good feeling, that ppn looks pretty good for quite a bit of snow top up, haha well here at least