Abyss
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Posts posted by Abyss
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Agreed. Their outlook failed to deliver so no guarantees for their current predictions.
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For Northern Ireland-
December 16.0 - 11 December - 1994Murlough
(County Down)http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/climate-extremes/#?tab=climateExtremes
Finner in Donegal and Phoenix Park broke their December records today.
The all island record for Ireland in December is 17.1 at Dublin Airport in December 1948.
Pretty Depressing for a front loaded cold half of Winter
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I'm immensely bored with the Weather. If there is no snow possible I'd love a couple of Windstorms but nada. No flooding so that's the only positive
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1 hour ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:
Upto the Moderators Ronan, finding it very hard to follow at the moment with the toys and prams nonsense
On pc move cursor over their profile pic and their is an "ignore user" feature that appears
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Yes there is a backtrack from Northern blocking now, Matt just hinted at it. However, I never buy these long range FC no matter what they state. Hocus pocus stuff. For instance last year a storm with exceptionally mild air made its way in to Arctic, it had a domino effect which made all of "background signals" invalid. My point is something unforeseen can happen and the domino effect overrides all the previous thoughts as it wasn't anticipated. And for years of observing netweather these background signals never amounted to anything.
I'm not ruling out a cold spell this December or any time this Winter, I never bought the background signals to begin with so no difference to me. Beyond two weeks is a massive stretch lets just see what happens before becoming too negative and despondent on the final evening of Autumn. It's all to play for.
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46 minutes ago, MattHugo said:
However, here comes the negative thoughts as things stand; Depending on how model guidance (plus other variables) progress within the next week or so I am beginning to lean towards a possible failure in terms of northern blocking becoming dominant. Clearly a lot of the info for a blocked Dec was discussed within the Winter Forecast but this is a quickly evolving situation now and my optimism for the likes of the EC Monthly et al, to come to fruition are, overall, waning now and I think the possibility of something far more 'typical' for a Dec month is gaining some weight, but we shall see.
These background signals always amount to nothing. Same every year with long range forecasts. Hocus pocus crystal ball stuff. If everyone would stick to the reliable time frame there would be no meltdowns in here lol. Not a go at Matt just illustrating that LR FC are useless full stop IMO
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35 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
could be a stonker this GFS. Dreadfull UKMO though.
Stonker it was not.
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Second consecutive ice day in Donegal. Been sub zero for 48 hours now. Same for Castlederg in Tyrone
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To be fair Meteorological Winter hasn't even started yet. And the model thread has been saying the same thing since the end of October regarding possible cold then delays etc. I don't get the hysterics in there, same crap everyday lol
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Max temperature of -1.2 with me in Donegal today. Grass, roofs etc remained white all day. Nice to see. A much colder day than FC
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Finner, Donegal recorded snow at 5am. Must be a malfunction. Models looking interesting this morning for a Northerly. Lets see what the Euro says
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1 hour ago, ronan said:
At its highest that hill is roughly 300m asl. I was only able to make it half way.
Modest height then. Get altitude is a good app I use for that
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Roughly what's the altitude of that road Ronan?
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14 hours ago, Abyss said:
From 6pm Thursday until 9am Friday the met office automated fc shows Snow falling for every hour at Omagh with the temp at 1c throughout. Now I know take these with a pinch of salt but I must admit its usually very accurate. Especially when its showing snow over a widespread time frame.
Guess there will be a Yellow snow warning in the morning stating accumulations above 100-150m and some slushy deposits possible to lower levels at times.
Met office warning for NI-Additionally, 1-3 cm of snow may accumulate on hills above around 100-200 m and more than 6 cm above 400 m. Some of the heaviest showers could produce slushy conditions even at low levels.
Met Eireann-Tonight
Cold tonight with further wintry showers, heaviest and most frequent in the west and north with isolated thunderstorms. Some snow showers also, mainly but not exclusively on higher ground.-
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From 6pm Thursday until 9am Friday the met office automated fc shows Snow falling for every hour at Omagh with the temp at 1c throughout. Now I know take these with a pinch of salt but I must admit its usually very accurate. Especially when its showing snow over a widespread time frame.
Guess there will be a Yellow snow warning in the morning stating accumulations above 100-150m and some slushy deposits possible to lower levels at times.
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So with all the background signals and model split which is the most likely outcome overall?
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1 hour ago, knocker said:
It's the just published winter forecast. I assumed that's what you were talking about but I admit I didn't check.
Do you have a link to that FC? Thanks
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What a difference a run makes
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I recorded -1 last night in East Donegal. Castlederg also went below freezing
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The much prophesied good weather especially for Northern areas didn't really last too long. Cloudy all day Sunday until evening. Yesterday great. Today cloudy with an area of rain moving NW through southern Ulster. It seems the cloudy conditions pushed further North than fc. I wasn't expecting wall to wall sunshine like Yesterday for today, even though that was the fc for my location a couple of days back
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Knock airport Co.Mayo conditions for 5pm. Current Temp 0c, Heavy snow
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Patchy dusting of snow this morning on grass cars etc and low hills completely white. Around 11.30 had a very heavy snow shower which lasted for ten minutes. Was surprised to see it snow at that time of day. I've recorded snow falling 5 days this April maybe 6
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Patchy snow cover this morning and icy out. Beautiful crisp morning
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Very Wintry update from the Met office for NI
Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:
Remaining rather cold with wintry showers, lying snow possible overnight with widespread frosts and an ice risk. The moderate to fresh north to northwest winds will gradually ease.
Updated at: 0618 on Sun 24 Apr 2016
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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Abyss
Yeah Winter far from over. Ridiculous to think otherwise I just think its childish frustration which leads to those end of the world posts but the weather looks very very boring for the foreseeable so we'll just have to suck it up for a week or two and see how it looks then. Personally if we are to get a severe cold spell I'd like to see it in January as I've witnessed a couple in December, the evenings are a bit longer and its the coldest month.