Dennis
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Posts posted by Dennis
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i dont give up...'when the puzzle is going to fit
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7
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change MJO 8-1
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2
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strato ideas
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1
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AO- yes Jackpot here days are mostly cold , but this week not all the time
dangerous icerain for norway in South parth tomorrow
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Vortex lobe over the UK with northwinds
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4
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2
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1
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1 chanche still there......setup from 20-22th
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CFS from 18th
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Knowledge to an SSW; it doensnt mean with one thats happened or happening always cold is forseen
it depends on the downwelling from the strato into the tropo (also its target)
see to this : WCD - The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events (copernicus.org)
its a puzzle that has to fit
AND ;at the day when an SSW is happening NOTHING is already happening on that day ..... the stratocold needs to come down first
So if we see cold late febr it isnt from the SSW thats forseen ....thats into midMarch if all is succesfull
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Good day to all
hmm i didnt see that much on the charts last years
10hpa vortex core over UK
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4
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newest AO ideas
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2
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1
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a big MJO change today
4-5 was yesterday
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interesting on NOAA HP position
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4
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split Vortex signs late Febr
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7
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SSW signals around 19-23
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5
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NOAA from 19th
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im still in for cold (i know it isnt easy )
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to much HP on a wrong pos. (for now)
warm west Europe cold Scandiland .... later could be better for cold
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NOAA rising HP iceland
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5
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spring delay forseen
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
GFS12z