Dennis

There are still cold signs with a cold N-ly - models have to re-focus i think

Yes its very complex but the heat makes a progress later for the impact

I could give a little try : WAFz or poleward heat flux will be much stronger later after 9 Jan - its how to poss impact the Polar Vortex ; so then the PV could going weaker and also gives a split later in Jan That could result in more cold (maybe Western Europe too)

Yes good sign to watch - outlook is an Scandinavian High to be build

Today GFS12 Para

CFS shows cold more west in first days Jan 2017

I do see so many options these days that i decide to watch only 24 hours forecasts started from day 1 in 2017

Well how strong will that ATL High be first day 2017 is a start.......

EC 144

Ec today - see how things will come last days this year....... now models have a cold start for Jan 2017

cold weather ahead EC12z

If this is happen things for cold air are open to come south

Where will the Azores ridge settle next Year? USA get some new cold too - it could bring this ridge to the north - or it increases the jetstream again.....

Well this one we want i hope - lets see whatt brings January to us

Yes very nice many options are now on where this Azores High will settle- others think Euro again

some PV is coming down