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daniel barber

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Everything posted by daniel barber

  1. Let the snizzile streamer commence. Had one of these a few years ago. While it's not heavy its often more persistent and affects a larger area
  2. Didn't mean to word it like that apologies. I see what your saying and do agree. They can be abit slow sometimes to update stuff according to radar. But I would say if we're here watching it they likely are aswell. But practically unless your an enthusiast like us it doesn't really change much.
  3. Looking on satellite seems like a messy streamer is setting up behind. The type that covers a large area but with lower snowfall rates. Lack of cloud tops.
  4. Wouldn't be surprised of we get reports of thundersnow in Kent. In some of those really small but intense cells. Looking out to the north sea however things don't seem to be backbuilding as much as I would hope
  5. The fact we are seeing reds on the radar is crazy. That's very very heavy snowfall. Pretty amazing given the atmospheric conditions
  6. The current blob moving in likely would have dropped a few cms had it been colder. Unfortunately after this set of showers I see streamers setting up in a more organised manner so less widespread
  7. Never been a fan of these types of setups as again the wind direction has to much of a southwesterly direction bearing. Same with the bfte and countless other easterlys. Unless you live on the coast or in Kent you won't see much. Bring back the 2010 easterly type I say.
  8. I mean tommorow if the uppers are right it won't be 5 degrees. As I said earlier the bbc often overinflates daytime highs. That's the maximum temp it could reach which I think is s stretch. Many places could struggle to get above freezing
  9. The met and the bbc do this pretty much every cold spell. They always inflate the temperatures by a few degrees typically until the day it occurs
  10. I'm not saying those at the bbc don't look at models. But for pretty much every cold spell they always wait until closer to the time frame before they really pick up on it. Those folks looking at models here are enthusiasts and the data is always subject to change. But simply writing off anything just because the bbc hasn't updated seems abit silly. In that case you way aswell not look at models at all. If the trends stay give it a few days and the bbc will line up. As they pretty much do evey cold spell
  11. You are aware it would probably take between 2 to 5 working days for the bbc to acknowledge model trends. Plus whenever has the bbc ever been bullish on upcoming cold spells until closer to the time frame.
  12. Not sure the hundreds of thousands of troops sitting in trenches would do very well in those conditions.
  13. Last few days has been really cool to see these supercell like structures in the showers. You can clearly see the wind shear rotating the showers. Something you would see on a nws radar in the us
  14. Having watched storms for many years in the nowcasting periods like this. This seems to be always the case that storms are always a few mb deeper than predicted.
  15. I mean that's pretty much what some of the high res models are showing. Not exactly surprising. Over the channel the high res models show a narrow band of 100mph plus
  16. Don't really see how this could indicate its much worse than forecast, as well the models predict a sting jet anyway in a sense. Need to keep an eye on observations to make any rational prediction. And more importantly track. That's what's going to decide impacts the most. We know there's gonna be 100mph plus winds in the channel. It's whether the storms track shunts them more north
  17. It's certainly got a different feeling maybe due to the upper ceiling potential along with uncertainty so close to the event. For essex it's still not looking to serious your average annual bad winter storm. However its the fact there's still that chance that it could be more.
  18. Regarding the nowcast scenario ignoring models. What's the storm looking like regarding track and intensity. Should be looking at this more now instead of models
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