Richard Fisher
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Posts posted by Richard Fisher
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I must be the only one that thinks the Wednesday low will reach up to the M4 producing 15-20cm of the white stuff. I just can't see it staying in France based on the Mets low probability of this.
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1 hour ago, Wivenswold said:
Pressure isn't that high and there will some very strong troughs forming bringing regular snow shows, admittedly not for everyone but I think it would blanket a fair amount of the North and Eastern sides of Britain.
You've just upset the Western half of the UK with this prediction.
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1 minute ago, Nick123 said:
The pros also gave 2 other options, they said unlikely, but all the same was on table. And it now looks like the southerly track has become a lot more likely. Expect updates
I don't think they will change it based on 1 GFS run especially as 6 hours earlier the same model was showing Snowmegeddon for Southern England. If all models show the low staying in France by this Sunday they will change it. For what its worth I don't think this is the final solution and the low will track back north. Just got a feeling.
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3 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
This is a substantial shift in modelling from the 18z so I'd very much like to wait until the ensembles before judging but this extends the blocking far further than the last few runs have managed to.
In terms of snow detail, honestly couldn't care less at this stage, that will chop, change & new features will pop up seemingly from no where. The low in the middle of next week was always expected to go into France and miss the UK, been saying this for days now.
??? The low will head back north in the next few days. The pros at the Met said there was only a low probability of the low staying in France.
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I would be very very surprised if this low next week stays South of Southern England. The Met Office had this scenario down as the least likely. I think ECM has this modelled wrong and will move it North in future runs.
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34 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
Oh but it does for many.
Why is the border between snow and rain always the M4? Is this by chance or is there a geographical explanation why this happens a lot?
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17 minutes ago, Derecho said:
How is this?
Is this feature moving North or South?
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Many in here saying a dry outlook but wasn't there lows to our SW next weekend which could lead to a snow event as per Met Office update. Have I missed something? Have these lows now disappeared?
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23 minutes ago, markw2680 said:
Oh we do indeed
KRO
I would rather Boing Boing into the next snowy heaven. UTB.
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43 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
You might want to re-read it if that was your take from it..
I have and I see nothing mentioned regards anything really cold or widespread snow up to 19 Jan as per update. Its their update which includes 20 Jan onwards which looks more promising.
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Looks like any real cold has been delayed until at least 20 Jan as per Met Office extended update today. Its a waiting came for coldies hopefully upgrades next week.
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14 minutes ago, MJB said:
Surely you didn't expect to read that in the 5-10 day update?
No but as the period now covers the 15 Jan onwards, this was the date poster's in the Model output thread insisted was when the real cold would likely come in. This now appears a bust and we could now be looking at the following week for anything noteworthy.
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12 minutes ago, That ECM said:
As northwestsnow is back at work.
EXETER increases the faith.
Very disappointing update. No mention of any widespread snow or anything overly cold. Bog standard winter weather with a few snow showers in the North and around coasts.
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16 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:The charts are bang on for the 15th nothing is being delayed! Jesus Christ this forum has gone downhill!
It has gone downhill and the mods need to sort out the same 2 or 3 people who are posting 20-30 times per run and making it difficult for others to understand.
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The models are wrong. In the Metoffice we trust.
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48 minutes ago, Chrisover93 said:
What’s wrong with some of you… your saying this exact thing but then being told about toughs etc forming and your still posting silly things sometimes when in a situation like this it’s best to just get the cold in first and deal with that later with all that said just getting this sort of cold is an amazing start to winter what we haven’t seen in so many years
Most of us just want snow and are not interested in dry and cold. Years gone by you could guarantee several days of dry and cold then led to a very snowy breakdown from the SW which doesn't seem to happen anymore, the mild air just steams in. Many see this pattern as a wasted opportunity. I'm gutted Thursday's low now seems to be off the table, would prefer this the brief snow event to dry and cold.
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Back on track with latest runs. No rain just snow from Thursday nothing marginal about it. Sledge ready here in Bristol.
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Don’t worry folks the Daily Star has this nailed
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Few snow flakes falling in Kingswood, Bristol
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Game Over for Saturday. Met Office warnings just updated and have not been extended to the West Country.
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How’s the precipitation for Saturday looking? Any huge turnaround by the models this afternoon ? Looking forward to the odd snowflake blowing about in the wind
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Not giving up!
Storm Isha, Amber ⚠️
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
No real concern shown on latest BBC1 22:30 live broadcast just mentioned Windy for Sunday.