Paul Sherman

Yes the Plains are having quite a winter it seems. Texas Panhandle, Kansas, Nebraska and the Dakotas, the High Plains also. Even a few of my Canadian Chase friends had a near 100mph Blizzard west of Saskatoon a few days back. All bodes well for plenty of moisture in the ground come Spring time now the quetion is, can we get over there to chase in the 2021 Tornado Season as it could be a belter.

Gunna have a read of my book and post exerts and charts in here to dream about what winters we used to have. Hopefully it gives hope of what can happen and what winters used to be like.

Danbury Road Traffic Cameras north of here look like a different country nice snow covering on them cant link it though for some reason

Yh had a feeling Heybridge, Danbury etc would do ok out of this, my sweet spot would have been Braintree through Bury St Edmonds to west of Norwich so nice to see at least walkable crunchy snow pics coming in from there but certainly no Amber warning needed for this event - Another Fail for the Met Office

Ahhh thats cute Heavier Precip arrives and its now all rain At least I saw some snowflakes falling, last covering March 2nd 2018 so 34 and a half months and counting probably be able to make that 35 months when the next 2 weeks are written off. I did see 15 foot drifts in Norway and Sweden in 2019 though on my DIY Northern Lights trip and flights up there are very cheap when we are able to fly again so all is not lost if snowy winters do become extinct in the SE of the Uk

Oooh yh right on cue proper fat flakes thats more like it

Precip now falling in Slush on Sea 70/30 Rain to Ice Pellets Glad some are having at least a covering.

So looking like we will be 0 from 5 Snow attempts here since Dec 1st. The Models really don't have a clue about our corner of the world Do they What a Let Down my Sledges face deary me you should see him

Never say never would you believe this chart produced snow for London and the SE on the 6th Jan 1968 with -3c Uppers. Its such a fickle thing forecasting snow and lots down to luck Have a great book that lists all events of winter back to 1840 and you can just look at the Metiociel Archive charts to see what the synoptic pattern was etc Below is an exert from the book for that day There was some unexpected light snow in southern central England on Saturday 6th. There was a notable snowstorm in the south on the 8-9th, affecting a large area of the country from North Wales down to the southeast of England Snow started in Southampton just before 2 pm. By the next morning in some areas there were drifts 3 m deep

2330z Temp -1.3c Dewp -2.2c Massive drop in the last 90 minutes

22z Update Temp 0.4c Dewp 0.0c Woohoo its the Ice Age Cometh

Bang On Mick Really lovely atmosphere in here and lots of 1 liners and jokes, lets be honest this type of Snowfall is a bonus and its not the proper spell we crave when the better set up comes in (the one rarer than hens teeth) so lets just enjoy and see what happens

Thats my sensible 1st choice kids are primed, well when I say kids they are 18 and 16 years old Enough snow to sledge Gusted Hall Wood nice big hill

Loving the Positivity in this thread having a right old chuckle lol And you know what we just dont care anymore and most will be happy sticking their noses to the window pane watching some big fat fluffy flakes lol

6-9am Leigh On Sea 82ft asl Snow to Rain 2cm of Snow then 3mm of Rain

21z Update Temp 2.1c Dewp 1.3c So about a degree of both over the course of an hour, thats more like it and clear skies now

Skies have now Cleared SE Essex Folk so lets see what happens next few hours

20z Bah Temp 3.1c Dewp 2.1c No change from 19z Ouch

Thanks Surrey and Daniel much appreciated

Meant to ask on Twitter the other day, what is that Daniel ? Is it an App or a paid for App ?

That map shows perfectly the Influence of that bloody Sea around us, need the breeze to come from the west really or from the south west where the colder clearer weather is. As Southender says its too cloudy here

1930z Temp 3.1c Dewp 2.1c Not really dropping much is it lol

Certainly looks that way at the moment but 10 miles north at Danbury with 367ft asl am sure there will be some decent falls

1830z readings from here are grim Temp 3.2c Dewpoint 2.6c Lol we have our own Microclimate it seems. I know where I will be heading tomorrow and it aint down the Estuary. Eeeek

2 things to note GFS not having anything to do with this IS a great Sign - When Canon Fodder says no it will happen, Poor old Goofus will probably pick up on it with its 18z or 00z run - Its in a word Appalling with Mesoscale as I have said before 2nd Point it really it strange here Temps of 3c and Dewpoint of 1c in fact the warmest it has felt since late december and that 1 mild day last weekend maybe the Estuary and the easterly we have warming things around the Estuary always a bad sign for here but there will be winners tomorrow for sure