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swainclubber

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    North West Regional thread 01/09/18 Onwards......

    in Regional

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

    Latest text forecast

    A risk of snow and ice, especially on Tuesday afternoon.

    This Evening and Tonight:

    Wintry showers will spread further inland this evening and overnight. Any snow accumulations will be confined to high ground in Cumbria and Lancashire. It will be chilly everywhere though, with a patchy frost and a risk of ice. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

    Tuesday:

    Rain, sleet and snow showers will continue across Cumbria and Lancashire in the morning. A band of afternoon rain, sleet and later snow will leave accumulated snow more widely. Maximum temperature 4 °C.

    Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

    Wintry showers will continue on Wednesday mainly in the west. Thursday will be dry and bright but with a snow risk overnight. Further wintry showers are possible on Friday.

    Updated: 15:08 on Mon 28 Jan 2019 GMT

     Pretty much as expected. They won’t mention tomorrow night in detail until tomorrow. 

    it says wintry showers spreading inland as the night goes on, is that what is currently over northern island now? is this a trough feature?

    North West Regional thread 01/09/18 Onwards......

    in Regional

    Posted

    Just now, kold weather said:

    Hi, I was just browsing and thought I'd just give a very quick run down:

    Basically there is still a lot of uncertainty. Typically the GFS is too quick to force frontal systems NE and usually has to adjust southwards. Indeed all the models have had to do this with Tuesday's low. That is what history would argue for, and when we see ECM+ICON+GEM and the UKMO start to do that, we need to pay attention to it, especially as the GFS has a known bias for being too far north.

    Could go either way, for you guys in the southern part of this area I'd still be confident of getting snow, but getting much more iffy for the likes of Cumbria. I'd suggests there is a fair chance the models will have to shift south again at some point in the next few days.

    Hope you don't mind me intruding in here occasionally, I have family in the Lake District so I've got a bit of a connection!

    always welcome your input mate, good to see

    North West Regional thread 01/09/18 Onwards......

    in Regional

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, chicken soup said:

    Looking like the usual frustration  on tuesday coming our way.. Not to worry though.. I'm fully used to this by now...I expect the same on Thursday. 

    Still time. I read the low hasn't developed yet. One question for somebody in the know, on the current trajectory can we still expect showers?

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