Faronstream
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Posts posted by Faronstream
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Finally some real summer warmth, 25,3c as maximum today and tomorrow friendly 27-28c with even higher humidity which we all need when the climate is getting colder.
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July 2020; Orebro, Sweden
-Temperature values-
Max temp: 26,1 day 25 (-3,8 below)
Min temp: 7,2 day 18
Average high: 20,9 ( -2,1 below)
Average low: 11,1 (-1,9 below)
Days over 25c: 2 ( -5 days below)
Air frosts: 0
-Precipitation-
Monthly total: 92,6mm (+25,14%)
Wettest day: 22,3 mm at 5th july
-Sunshine duration-
I dunno
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Just now, Scorcher said:
Surely you don't actually believe this?
It's really sad how climate alarmists like yourself are trying to ruin objective reality which corresponds to data that clearly shows how strong impact the sunshine duration gets with better air quality.
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2 minutes ago, Scorcher said:
Yes it is down to the synoptics but why wasn't it this easy to get into the mid 30s in the past?
We have always had plumes but they have certainly been a lot more extreme in recent years. Since 2015 these extreme plumes have become virtually an annual thing.
The extreme heat seems to build much more easily to the south these days .
The air quality is getting better for each year in europe therefore we receive more direct sunlight on earth which impact the t-max temperature especially during heatwaves like this one. Overall the earth is getting colder from now on each year passing.
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3 minutes ago, AderynCoch said:
Hottest day of the year so far here with a high of 35.3C. There was a 36C registered just a few miles away in Austria (Marchegg), and even a 37C in Vienna (though these are both rounded values).
Summer has finally woken up this second half of July, with the earlier streaks of low-20s maxima and frequent non-thundery rainfall finally vanquished (knock on wood!). There are some meaty-looking storms approaching too this evening.
Well since your summers are extended deep into september you usually get a couple of 25c days even in october am i right?
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Finally a somewhat decent day here t-max at 24,9° so almost an high-summer day, but looks colder again from tomorrow so short lived as usual this summer.
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1 hour ago, Weather Enthusiast91 said:
Even July 2012 managed to deliver a hot spell towards the end of the month. But apart from that, the summer that year isn't really all that different to the one so far this year temperature wise.
But as you can see on my location i don't live in england, 2012 were cold troughout the summer here just like in UK but this year june was really warm here so still different but not by much.
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To this date only 2 high-summer days here in july compared to 17 in june, getting 2012 vibes if we didn't have such a fantastic june.
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1 minute ago, mb018538 said:
Lovely ecm this morning...slight blip through Tuesday/Wednesday with a front passing through, but settled and fairly warm on the whole.
Looks extremely short lived and after that heights start to build in again over greenland
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June 2020 stats from here: 17 high-summer days (25,0 C or more) and 4 days over 30 C
No signs that july will match up with this hot june we just had, looks more and more like an 2007& 2009 type of july
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1 minute ago, Ice Day said:
a cool down will probably be quite welcome.
The thing is that we don't know for how long that will hold on for, in our part of the world we can't risk getting trapped under lows in the beginning of high summer aka july beacuse there is a big risk for it to continue through the rest or most of summer
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Since it's climatologically impossible for a warm/hotter than average june this year we will have to make the best out of this "mini-heatwave" incoming 10 days from the east, probably only namby 27-28c as warmest this june.
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4 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Dry weather continues till the end on the 00s!!18z went crazy early on once again!!ukmo big improvement at 144 hours with a renewed ridge of high pressure plonking itself over the uk again!!northerly pushing east again?
ECM 0Z half-long range is slightly colder than yesterdays 12Z and same low over scandi, also it's good mentioning which model you are reffering to
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13 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:
The models have certainly pulled back from the unsettled and cool charts that were showing yesterday (albeit in FI).
It still shows the high pressure connecting to greenland and soon after northern winds from 4-5th of june and forward. It is already guaranteed now that we will experience colder than average conditions for the start of june
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Looks extremly cold from beginning of june for both GFS&ECMWF and forward, no change from this also cold may and wet conditions continuing
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42 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
So a significant probability of well above average temperatures
So, overall, looks promising for a warm or hot summer,
I would not say 25-40% possibility for "well above 2m temperature" is that high really since it's still under 50% so it can go either ways. Also don't forget that we are now entering a la nina period so it's a bigger possibility for a cool wet summer
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25 minutes ago, Zak M said:
If you like warmth, then Thursday next week could be your day...
You know people are desperate for warmth when 15-17c is considered good, it's below average t-max temperature in may for UK
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5 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
^ yes. it is looking more like UK cold high now, ECM has this T192:
Good job there is something else to worry about, or we'd be gutted!
We still have an SSW coming, will hopefully have an effect later on in spring and give us many degrees below average
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This nights ECM again have the high pressure center further north and now almost into central Scandi at 192h, just gets better and better
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ECM 12Z even colder than this nights run and the high is further north, looking good
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1 hour ago, IDO said:
The GFS 06z op has an upper low over Iberia and that props up higher pressure. At D10 those sort of features should be given low credence and the mean would be a better choice. D10:
D10 mean>
D16 mean>
This does suggest the current GFS route of heights building a bit further north as the tPV relents to our NE on its move to the core being in Siberia is viable:
Mean d10-d16>
FWIW this is a trend, but JFF as FI it is.
Feels like you are really biased for milder solutions, always these mean charts to prove that it looks mild while in reality we are actually looking at one of the coldest periods for this winter season ( and early spring).
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ECM 0Z is fantastic with a high pressure building up over northern scandinavia, just 1,5 months too late so probably not below 0 degrees for whole days
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25 minutes ago, mb018538 said:
Pretty amazing that a city laying at 60N with an average January high/low of -1.5/-7c can be snowless in mid-winter. We think it's been bad here, but that just takes the biscuit.
Snowless here also for whole january at latitude 59 with -3,5 c as average high
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Even if the center of this high pressure is getting northwards for each run we still have very high 850hpa temperatures, looks like it will be milder than average
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
ECM 12Z pushes away the "heat" really fast, downgrading will continue from now on