wrightc23
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Posts posted by wrightc23
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3 minutes ago, Ukwoody said:
Sadly that is the SE centred BBC all over. Unless it is London or Kent they are just not interested
In fairness Surrey and Berkshire as well. Essex less so.
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Amazing stuff, strange it's getting so little coverage in the media? I guess if it's not affecting London....
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It was definitely my favourite season when younger I'm not so sure now? Both Autumn and Winter rarely live up to expectations. I'm always taken aback how quick summer fades at this time of year as the light fading accelerates. Still love the colours of this time of year. Just wish there were more misty mornings, sunny days and big autumn storms. Dank seems to sum up much of the reality.
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Not much here unfortunately, an on and off wintry mix overnight, very fine snow, hail, sleet, grapuel mainly. A light dusting, no real proper snow. Doesn't look like I have to travel too far south from here to find it though.
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Oh well back to FI.
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1 minute ago, Geordiesnow said:
The annoying thing will be in the forecasts, all the focus will shift towards that possibility and forgetting to mention the fact lowland parts of Scotland/Northern Ireland and Northern England will actually see proper snow falling and settling.
That's been very noticeable today already, the BBC forecast hardly discusses anything else. Oh yes cold in the north, maybe even snow but look at this system skirting the south....
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6 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
OMG XC weather has me down for 20cm snow on Thursday,that's more than 2010.
No it cannot be correct can it..?
C.S
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Just checked myself following your post, crikey! Surely not for our neck of the woods? The shelves will be cleared from all the supermarkets despite bizarrely Northwich having a huge number of them!
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It does actually look like there's a bit of potential for us next week. Obviously still some way out.
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8 minutes ago, Ukwoody said:
Oh Blimey, Must be right then. I'd better get the snow blower out and fill the freezer ;-)
We could just ditch the model output thread and base our decisions on when the express, mail and star all converge on their imminent predictions of snowmageddon?
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Funnily enough I've just visited the Daily Express website and the main article splashed across the homepage is 'Britain on HEAVY SNOW ALERT: Polar vortex to plunge UK into WORST January FREEZE in years'. Which model are they using? It can't be any I've seen before.
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1 minute ago, lassie23 said:
Can't go wrong with all that kit. Apparently these mild winters are on their last legs and having a final run before they bow out
Too true, we have to grow a very big beard as well apparently. I'm prepared what with Maunder, Carrington all incoming and that's before the arrival of Planet X. At least we might get some snow then!
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3 hours ago, lassie23 said:
To cheer up those who like snow and sub zero temperatures, from 2020 the UK will have a series of brutal winters where -20c will not be unusual, it will be like some of the winters of the early 1980's.
Solar activity and other factors will all lead to this cluster of freezing winters2 hours ago, lassie23 said:lol i've been recognized, better go back to the Daily Express
I'm assuming this is the new maunder minimum the express seem to keep predicting? I've got my Amish survival wagon and bug-out bag at the ready.
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13 minutes ago, Dublin Novice said:
What never ceases to amaze me is the "ability" of the models to flip flop to such an extent over such relatively short periods. So, what is it? Are the models basically flawed or is it our interpretation that is an issue.
Modelling the natural world is notoriously complex. We often don't understand the rules to any great degree (and how to describe them) let alone how they interact. If you consider the sheer scale of data we'd need to sample with our global climate plus the complex interactions we'd need to understand I'm amazed we can accurately model to the level we currently achieve. Throw in the interaction between the sea and atmosphere plus external factors such as the earth's rotation and influence of the sun and it's a mind boggling amount of data we'd need to collect.
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It hasn't been posted for a few pages, 'Winter's over', roll on Spring.
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Basically the technical term is 'pants' frankly. I assume by later this evening it'll all have aligned with the UKMO after all?
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4 hours ago, cheshire snow said:
LOL
Just keep a look out on further runs T168(todays 06z) a Classic Cheshire Gap streamer set up with a NW Flow
Classic set up for us in Cheshire
C.S
I wish, straight through the Liverpool Bay. I seem to recall a great one in Jan 2010?
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1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:
Ha Ha another member from Northwich..were about are you matey Just so I can Steal some of your snow
I live near Hartford College
C.S
Just near Davenham. I'm not getting my hopes up for snow given our location and track record!
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50 minutes ago, iand61 said:
Most models are still showing a colder, more wintry period of weather as we enter the first week or so of the New Year although how cold and whether snow is in the mix depends on which model you look at.
personally I want to see the UKMO move towards the Day After Tomorrow scenarios being shown by others and whilst I feel that on this occasion the UKMO has got it wrong, the reality will probably be a much more watered down version.......cold yes and possibly a bit of snow for some but nothing out of the ordinary and I'd imagine nothing to tell the grandchildren about in years to come.
as for how long we have to wait for clarification on where we are heading, I'd say your probably correct that by Sunday the picture should be getting much clearer although we all know that getting winter utopia in this country is notoriously difficult with reasons to fail popping up at the last minute so until I see heavy snow actually falling and settling I'm sitting on the fence.
Thanks for that, there will be a lot of disappointment on the model output thread if we do see the almost inevitable downgrade. I tend to limit my excitement now until T+96 at the earliest. It's still looking a much better prospect than much of last winter. It's nice to see a variance of output's for once.
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The last couple of days have been great, a real wintry feel, frost, fog and mist lifting to reveal beautiful blue skies with a really crisp feeling. The excitement is building in the model output thread, at what point does the potential cold snap outlined by some of the models move towards reality? Sunday?
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40 minutes ago, Hanny said:
Problem is that a majority 'seem' to be spoiling for a forum debate as opposed to posting info that has a relation to the models. For some reason this year the amount of pettiness/one-up man ship has reached an unprecedented level.
As previously mentioned it has been a complete nightmare for the less knowledgable to sift through and learn about the weather, expience and/or how the models work, instead more about disgruntlement and cynicism from people whom seem to have a little knowledge and are dangerous with it.
A real shame as this forum used to be a great source of knowledge with balance views and interpretation, alas, it seems to be now going the route of 'chave' debuts and my exhaust is louder than yours!
Agreed I never post in there, apart from the fact that I don't understand most of it, it's heavy going as it's being routinely side tracked with off topic posts and some pretty heated bickering. It would be great if NW put together a 'pro' model output discussion thread limited to professionals and skilled amateurs (with posting permissions controlled by NW) which discusses the model output. You could then have a general model output discussion thread for all the mayhem.
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Just trying to start again, very light but bigger flakes this time!
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Boo just the odd flake here now, still an hour or so of light snow.
Hurricane Ophelia
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
The Express will have linked the storm to Planet X and a mega tsunami before the night is out.