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sawan

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Posts posted by sawan

  1. 20 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

    Its been a very dull December so far it feels, after a sunny start. Not much sunshine on the horizon, interested to see how we are doing sunshine level wise. Suspect everywhere below average, and a notably dull one on the cards.

    According to our local weather station, Coventry received a whooping 21 hours of sunshine in the first 20 days of December. Most of this was either in the morning or at the time of sunset.

  2. Remember hearing some muted voices during June about July 2023 being as bad as 2012 as most of the long-term signals were similar to that infamous July of 2012, goes to show that in terms of forecasting nothing should be off the table! 

    The low-pressure system seems to remain around our locale for the foreseeable taking us well into mid-August. Since being in the country for about 17 years I can't recall a hot second part of August. But it's likely that September and October will be at least a couple of degrees warmer than the 1991-2020 average, followed by multiple media reports...

     

    • Like 3
  3. As this is my regional thread, would like to share my thoughts on the model output discussion. There have been great analyses and very informative posts. However, I felt this year it wasn't at par by any means, it lacked that spark, probably people were too busy due to home working and kids being at home as well? I hope next winter we have all those posters back in, full gun blazing 

  4. 2 minutes ago, Shezale coventry said:

    Dont take any notice of it i had a dry forecast last night and we had a few hours of heavy snow the beeb and met office forecasts are crap

    Absolutely amazing scenes last night, was out for a walk with my son near bablake fields when it started snowing  by the time we got back home, everything was blanketed in snow

    • Like 1
  5. 24 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

      Which is why matching those with the nearest GFS or ECm is useful, the NOAA charts will give you an accurate idea of the mean pattern of troughing and ridging plus the mean upper flow. You can then extraploate surface detail off the nearest ops... This is a very successful method that ive been employing for some time now, and its certainly more stable and accurate for that timeframe then trying to decide which op has found a new trend.

    Very true mushy, as usual with a great deal of care, but for those interested it is worth giving it a go. Not just now but in the hectic search for cold come the winter!

     

    What sort of temperature would you expect in the coming days John? In the Westmidlands, we have hardly seen much sun over the past few days with subdued temperatures, we have seen consistnlty lower temperatures compared to the forecast. Not sure if we will get to 30C tomorrow. Would like to see some sun even if the temperature is low 20C 

  6.  

    8 minutes ago, andy_leics22 said:

    Any updates from Leicester? Looks like the heaviest of the shower is right over them now!

    Trying its best to snow in Coventry (failing miserably ), currently 2C, radar shows sleet everywhere except, altitude. 

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