Devonshire

apologies for double post

This thought has occurred to me at times - it's an interesting one. There is a great video on youtube about the link between solar-induced geomagnetic storms and storm development: more interesting is that fact that 'solar upticks' seem to appear with planetary alignments - this suggests that long-range weather models might be able to incorporate some element of potential solar influence - although how it would be incorporated is beyond my level of expertise. It would be interesting to know if any weather models do incorporate this type of link: planetary alignment -> solar uptick -> storm activity. For our cold hopes, it is worth bearing in mind that for a little while there has been an 'earth-facing-solar-quiet' in operation, that dampens sunspot activity when they face earth - so the particular sunspot may well go to sleep for a while! Picked all this up from Suspicious Observers: http://www.suspicious0bservers.org/

Thank you - I am learning so much here. Are you allowed to tell us if it will snow on Christmas day in Devon?

Is that on the UKMO too? I haven't seen later charts posted ...

Except if you are talking about his current/latest Weather for the Week Ahead on iPlayer , while saying the mild solution was more likely, he rounded that off with a pointed recognition that a slight shift in the pattern led to the possibility of colder development - with a lovely looking graphic by way of demonstration. It is the latter (outside?) possibility that the models appear to be trending towards now...

Steve, could you put a little more meat on the bones please?

Thank you Nick, that is just the type of model commentary that I come to this forum for: informative as to what is going on and maybe in the pipeline for us, while also educational for a newbie like me - more please! (and yes - I am learning lots from a few other posters too!)