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Always a red

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Posts posted by Always a red

    Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, swfc said:

    Problem is TI these charts have been doing the rounds since late November??? Granted they are there to be viewed but it seems nothing comes from it at all.great posts btw and here's hoping before march something lands and may see a snowflake this winter.imo the PV to the nw has taken residence there and will not relent

    Oh I don`t know

    I`m not as sceptical this will happen as I was a few weeks ago!! get it, get it!!??

    • Like 2

    Yorkshire and E England regional thread 30 Jan 2019 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Hullsnow31 said:

    Are the showers expected to get heavy tonight?

    From what lunchtime look north showed they could be heavy at times throughout albeit retreating towards the coast as the night went on, very much `some places would see none, others a good covering` etc

    What was interesting was the (a bit rushed) graphics at the end showing the warmer orange colours coming through on Tuesday not before with another band of snow on Monday!! 

    The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

    And the near continent continues to cool awaiting for conditions to align as we move through December.

    GP et al must wonder if anyone actually reads their posts.

    When some of the NWP show cold for a few days it's nailed and when it shows Zonal it's nailed on.

     

    Let the polar field reorganize itself and then we move forward

    Even the pros forecasts are fluid so let's take a "chill " pill and let things unfold.

    Screenshot_20181128-110826_Chrome.jpg

    Screenshot_20181128-111934_Chrome.jpg

    Spot on! There are one or 2 posters that will feel like a dog with 2 dangly`s reading this mornings models

    The models are so volatile at the moment and lets not forget the weather we are seeing now is typical autumn fare I wouldn`t bet against it all looking different again this time tomorrow based on previous experience only!

    • Like 5

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Lauren said:

    I'd like to publicly address this actually.

    As mods in threads such as this its very difficult to get a balance. I personally, have no issue with humour or quick one liner observations,  others feel it should be strictly model discussion. There are plans to have a more bantery thread for jokes and less scientific observation so that both needs are fulfilled so to speak.

     

    Great stuff, thought the banter thread worked really well previously giving people a place to let off steam amongst other things etc. Hopefully people who have an obvious hate of anything cold and enjoy highlighting all things mild can now be encouraged to use it instead of the `hunt for cold` thread

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

    Summing up...

    The 12z ecm is a blocky-and mass potential run..

    Non-descript synoptics as the elevation of decipher....CONTINUES.

    NAO/AO SYNOPTICS ARE FRAUGHT..via momentum...

    And we are far away from exactions....but there with prognosis..(reverse mobility)..(in sort!)

    Analysis later!!!!

    Exactly, going to be interesting to say the least where ECM sits in ensembles later....as I keep reading from the level headed posters….keep the faith guys!

    p.s can anyone buy an out of breath Summer Sun a new return button for his `likes` ? all your Christmas etc etc

    • Like 2

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Always a red

    7 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

    No idea what the SS camp is but I'm in the camp that unless cold trends pop up in the medium term then any long range projections have to be taken with caution really. And imo picking a chart at 384 hours out from the GFS is cherry picking to say the least. I will also add, I hate the idea of 2 seperate threads, its been tried before and they never work as one thread becomes isolated and obviously it would'nt be this one!

     

    I don`t disagree with everything you say and apologise for being a bit sarky but if there was ever a place where 384 charts can be posted without the usual (in general) ridicule then surely this is the exact thread, isn`t it?

    The different threads people a chance to discuss their own preferences in more detail IMO anyway

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 2

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, Smartie said:

    Well this is the hunt for cold model  thread isn't it so I don't see any problem with that in the slightest & I have no idea why you you feel the need to moan about posters who are using this thread correctly!?? 

    Seriously, did you confuse this model thread with the main one or what? 

    Great post but don`t waste your breath, firmly in the SS camp this fellow!!

    • Like 5

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, feb1991blizzard said:

    I actually like the idea of this thread, in my mind it should not mean that you have to 'make up' cold, its really IMO to stop people posting 1 ens member at 384 showing an armageddon type scenario in the regular model output discussion thread when there is other things to talk about for fans of different weather types, in other words this is the thread for cold fans but it doesnt mean that you cant say it will be mild, you can be gutted it will be mild but still say so, also it doesnt mean you cant talk about cold in the other thread if its a likely scenario, what the split up of threads is for IMO is to stop mild fans gloating when cold doesn't happen and also to stop cold fans gloating while other people are sitting there without heating and with flooded houses due to burst pipes having to read it.

    Exactly right! I think the new threads are mostly working, so far anyway, giving posters with all preferences a little more guidance thus avoiding a few more fallouts along the way this winter

    Now if only we could do something with the `like`(troll) button...…………

    • Like 3
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