ThamesStreamer
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What with the Americans and Canadians getting an Arctic blast, firing up the jet stream and breaking down our cold set up too, it's a wonder that the UK weather community isn't xenophobic. -
Exactly. Still suspect it might just miss us, but it's not set in stone. A few variables will surely come into play on the system's journey? It could deepen a little. It could wrap-around/pivot slightly. A slackening of the Northerlies could allow it a bit further North, although too far and it's rain in the South. Not one to completely write off yet, and there might need to be some nowcasting mixed in as it comes onto the radar.
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Surely no point paying too much attention beyond the middle of next week at the moment? Background signals are all there for severely reduced westerly momentum, and for continued shots at HLB. Model ensembles beyond middle of next week seemingly struggling with said signals, on top of continued TPV havoc. All seems more volatile than usual. See how middle of next week shapes up.
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Looks like its inching NE to me. I think pivot point will probably be somewhere over mid or north Kent before it comes round over Essex and N/NE London. We'll see though.
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Frustrating. Still a few days away from getting anywhere approaching consensus on this. From an IMBY perspective, it could be the best way to get snow in the south and SE, super high reward.....but my word, is it ever a path strewn with risk.
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This is a great spot, and bodes well.
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Christ, look at the switch in the GEFS from the 00z (left) to the 06z (right). Must be something afoot to see such a pronounced movement in the ensembles from a crazy spread to a more confident outlook?
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If that is the case then do you think heavier stuff will just be delayed for some of us? I’m in Southend, only a moderate fall of snow pellets at the moment really. Hoping that into the evening it might get heavier, more persistent and bigger flakes.
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The build to the East of the system was exactly what we needed to bring us back into play. Now watch the Channel and Strait of Dover go off like a bomb and pep it up....
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We officially have a Thames Streamer. Essex Weather Centre refers to North Sea off Essex coast and Thames Estuary as having lit up and being snow machines. If winds stay favourable as expected this could cause rush hour disruption. MetO need to extend warning into London.
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Standing at Chalkwell station in Southend looking E and SE and can see there’s lots about but had more of a Northerly component so far so I’m watching the clouds pass me to my SE and head to Kent. Can actually see the snow falling on the other side of the Estuary from here. Hoping the wind direction shifts ASAP to send the train our way again and give us a pasting.
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Tell it to stay there mate. I’m just coming through Upminster, not far away now ?
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Aw man so gutted, still at work in the City. Won't be getting off at Chalkwell til about 10, I'm missing it!
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I hope this continues through the evening. Still at work in London but should be making my way home on the train from Fenchurch Street to Chalkwell in about an hour.
