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The Weather Yoda

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Posts posted by The Weather Yoda

  1. Infrequent poster...long time skulker. Actually very upbeat about our chances down in east Kent this time, espeically following on from Steve Ms excellant forecast last night (we should all club togther to buy him a snow shaped medal or something for his hard work and diligence to the cause). Doubly excited as tomorrow is my birthday and haven't woken up to snow on my birthday for many, many years. I do remember 1981 as my birthday party had to be cancelled due to the snow and I cried...embarassing for a 22 year old I know :drinks:

    Latest GFS is what we want to see trending over the next two days if we want to hold on to our snow...low from the north head east and the low from the south stay over Europe...just once we have to have the weather gods play into our hands...is this the time???

  2. From the met office...their definition of a heat wave.

    Region Threshold

    temperature (°C)

    Day max Night min

    North East England 28 15

    North West England 30 15

    Yorkshire and the Humber 29 15

    East Midlands 30 15

    West Midlands 30 15

    East of England 30 15

    South East England 31 16

    London 32 18

    South West England 30 15

    Wales 30 15

    These temperatures could have significant effect on health if reached on at least two consecutive days and the intervening night.

  3. Waiting with trepidation as the main front approaches from France. 15 miles from the coast, but a good 100m asl so am hopeful will stay as sleet at the very worst. Only a few cms on the ground here from the initial cold front yesterday lunch time with no siginificant snow since then. As I type the snow just pepped up a bit as the first band of precipitation associated with the front crosses east Kent...

  4. One of the more interesting aspects of that which the MetO have published today is the notion that 'London' is specfically mentioned. Almost as if they know their charts don't say so, but they still are issuing a warning for the place, anyway.

    Peculiar.

    Having seen the weather at lunch time I think the meto are thinking that most places will see some leading edge snow as the front moves in, but in the south this will very quickly turn to rain. However, it may still cause a few problems before it turns to slush.

    With regard to the 6z this did indeed show the snow line further north than previous models, but as someone has already mentioned it is still further south than yesterdays 6z. Tens of miles are going to make all the difference in this situation and with 36 hours to go there is still time for the line to go further south or north. Just look at the event a couple of weeks ago when the snow suddenly switched direction hours before it arrived and Nick et al got a nice covering.

    Nothing is for certain until you see it happening through your window...

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