The Weather Yoda
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Hmmmm, lovely Nazaneen didn't really suggest anything of any note for tonight on the local BBC forecast. Although I'm not sure she is actually a real weather forecastor...but I'll let her off
This could ever so easily be another extreme east Kent affair with most of the showers pushing through the channel and onto that sticky up bit in France which always seems to take a real battering in a north easterly
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This is the general idea of the models red being the highest risk
I feel eastbourne will be too far west and south !
I notice you've put a red line straight through your house Neil. Those lines seem pretty thin Neil, surely the showers will be more widespread than that
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Anyone else think think that 'heavy' snow showers and depths of 2-5cm is a bit rubbish. Two inches!!! My wife gets more than that...
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Blimey, the 6z ups the stakes for the northerly reload. The model discussion rattle throwers will be happy with that. Shows how quickly things can flip flop
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That was for up untill wednesday. after that the flow is slighter slacker. looks like we are in a faster progression with the easterlies shorter lived. think this run we could see the northerly move over us faster
Ah yes, I see. Could be quite a widespread covering through tonight and tomorrow morning affecting our whole area. Totals won't be up to much, but enough for a snowball fight I would reckon.
Looks more of an easterly component through the weekend which will please people further west....but not me!
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Last few GFS runs have had the HP slightly further north west and the SW moving in towards us a bit more. More defined easterlies on the 6z run and tighter isobars.
should see the showers slightly further inland
Really? Precipitation charts dont back that up
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GFS 6z appears to be showing a feature tonight running down the east and then affecting the south east by the morning. Could be a nice appetiser for the main dish
The 6Z makes the flow slightly flabbier which reduces the snow potential Thursday through Satuday. This is going to be down to nowcasting from now on in though. The potential is there, we just need to keep an eye on the radar from tonight onwards
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Everything looking slightly better this morning in the sort, medium and long term....lets see what the GFS 6z has to say. Not looking good for my house move on Friday. Might have to use sledges rather than a van...good job I have three.
I'm gonna stick to posting on this topic as the mood is slightly anti SE, especially us lucky few down in Kent, in the model discussion at the moment.
If you will choose to live ooop north
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GFS 0Z shows continuous snow in Kent solidly from 36z out until 180z. This appears to be due to the High becoming better positioned and allowing a more extensive and prolonged north easterly for this time period. ECM shows this also with UKMO not quite as good, but better than yesterday. The fax charts also show an initial trough for tomorrow and then a convergence zone through Thursday and all the way into Saturday.
Oh and I would say in the medium to long term the block looks more east than previously, so the notherly is now almost affecting western parts rather than dissapearing into the Atlantic. This also has the effect of reducing the mild influence which was looking to attack the south once the high started to slip northwards.
Let the fun begin
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Moderate to heavy sleet here and by the looks of the radar a fair bit more to come. Struggling to settle, but didn't think we'd have anything but rain today so bodes well for the rest of the week. Moving house on Friday...or not possibly!
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:blush:
Every now and then you hear this sound of something tapping your window , look outside and a moderate graupel/hail shower is falling... That's whats done all morning , hence the whiteness however it's melting very fast near the houses.
Neil, do you have a bank of fridges outside your house with the door open? Throughout this winter you always seem to manage to get more snow than me and yet you are slightly lower and slightly nearer the coast. Nothing but sleet here and a dandruff covering
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Off to Taunton for the weekend with a load of mates, is there any snow left up on the hills nearby which would be worth me bringing some sledges down? Thanks in advance
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Yes, a real kick in the teeth from all the models this morning for those hoping for the Siberian high to win the east v west battle and exert its influence westwards. As Ian says, this could become a static pattern for a while. I'm off to pile up all the snow in my back garden in the hope of keeping some until the next cold shot arrives...I don't rate my chances
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Fair play to Dave, Looks like he made a great call, he stuck by his guns, even when the models didnt look so good. Well done Dave, perhaps you will reveal you secret, if the 6z continues the theme
Its simple really, every winter he says it will happen and now and again it does
Sorry Dave, someone had to say it. Increasing support for cold to return next week from the models, whether it will be the cold, dank cloudy type or the very cold snowy type is still up in the air. Re Steve Ms comments regarding the Siberian High the charts showing it ridging westwards in early FI are something I haven't seen for around twenty years. Nice change to be looking east this winter
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posted in the last thread just before it was closed, does anyone know if this was going to be of snow its heading our way
More than likely, but its heading well north of here
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After a brief flirtation with snizzle, we are back to snow here although very light.
Might be just enough to replace the snow thats melting. Radar shows a rash of showers moving across Kent and moving into Kent, although unsure how many will fall as snow. Still windy and pretty unpleasant to be out in. Ideally we needed a big fat anti-cyclone to come and sit on us to maintain the snow, never mind.
People reaching for the valium today should remember its still early January and things in the long term are not looking like mild will return. In fact as Steve M points out if the ECM is to be believed it could start to become cold again with snow possibilities by the end of the week.
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Snow Schmow how bad is it in Chartham?, my son is due to go back there today from Maidstone on the train. If they are running
Probably about six inches on the virginal untouched areas, but most of the main roads are clear, particularly down the bottom by the station.
Oh and the trains were running yesterday but a very limited service
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Seriously people...theres a lot of glass half empties out there at the moment
Go to bed and lets see who was right in the morning.
And the answer was.....Steve M.
Hard to predict I know, but to still be predicting up to 20cms for the south east at 12:30am on weatherview when it was obvious to everyone on here it would barely be 2cms is pretty poor.
I suggest everyone turns off their computer and actually goes outside to enjoy the snow today before it all turns into a slushy mess. Or you could just spend the rest of the day indoors hopelessly looking at radar screens and whinging about how rubbish the Met Office/BBC/snow melt/lack of sledges* is. Your choice...
* delete as applicable
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Seriously people...theres a lot of glass half empties out there at the moment
Go to bed and lets see who was right in the morning.
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Shame this is happening now and not tonight
Why???
Approaching six inches of level snow, with drifts more than this, with up to another six predicted over the next 24 hours...will we reach the mythical foot of snow?
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Hope this link works. Can't remember ever seeing this much snow coverage over the UK. Just a few coastal areas seem to be clear, with everywhere else a lovely white.
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Anyone get 20CM in the east of kent then?
I have 2cm...
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u had some yesterday! don't be greedy!
One inch...sorry for being so greedy
Just looked at the radar...its so close I can smell it, but its just gonna stay that elusive few miles to the east all day by the look of it
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Strange...I thought I lived in East Kent. Seems the snow has other ideas
London And Southeast - Cold Spell Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Do be aware that it isn't spelt like that, its actually spelt Trottiscliffe!
No, I've never understood it either