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Leo97t

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Everything posted by Leo97t

  1. Leo97t
    Yes meant August sorry my mistake
  2. Leo97t
    I would say that 40C is definitely possible this month maybe even likely not that I want to experience it.
  3. Leo97t
    Arpege and arome showing 36C for Thursday and Friday. Even met office have tweeted this this morning. Small chance of the July Record going I would say as well
  4. Leo97t
    It's definitely broken the run option.
  5. Leo97t
    My only comfort to this winter being cold is that 1963 also occurred during a weak El nino
  6. Leo97t
    I feel like we are going to have an exceptionally mild but wet winter and autumn
  7. Leo97t
    Wow extrême ensembles have been decimated by the 12z
  8. Leo97t
    I take it you live in the north or west then
  9. Leo97t
    Yes sorry I mean an downgrade for summer 2018. Unbelievable charts for any other inferior year
  10. Leo97t
    12z. Now that's what I call a downgrade and probably a cold outlier
  11. Leo97t
    Wtf is the 18z randomly creates lows pretty much everywhere in Fl. Still somehow reaches 38C though on th 3rd again
  12. Leo97t
    23C touched the south coast in 2015. Not sure what 2003 was but I don't think 25C uppers have ever been reached in recorded history
  13. Leo97t
    And very possibly low forties
  14. Leo97t
    If the 6z verifies the 40C barrier is being broken. Ensembles showing amazing agreement for a plume around 3rd/4th/5th August although I think the 6z is the absolute peak scenario
  15. Leo97t
    Wow Gfs ensembles are beautiful. Most number of members I have ever seen above 15C at some point
  16. Leo97t
    Gfs output is odd at the moment. Decreasing heat the closer we get to the event
  17. Leo97t
    Very nonsensical charts from the 18z. Low rapidly intensifies and then a strong anticyclone is introduced in an odd fashion with quite a hot end to the charts
  18. Leo97t
    18z is real nasty. Obviously still okay but compared to recent output it's not great let's be real. Trough pushes any heat away from the uk with temperature falling back to average. May be a cold outlier as I can't remember the last time the operational wasn't a cold outlier
  19. Leo97t
    17.8 and 50mm
  20. Leo97t
    Personally the three heavy recent falls I can r ember occurred in successive winters. Feb 2 2009, Jan 6 2010, Dec 18 2010 with Feb 2009 being easily here heaviest with almost 25cm which is quite extraordinary for London these days
  21. Leo97t
    Which was better for you guys. The mid December to mid January 2009/2010 cold spell or December 2010?
  22. Leo97t
    More stunning are night temps of 26C in London. Smash the record
  23. Leo97t
    How can people complain. One of the hottest operational runs you'll ever see. Temperatures into the mid thirties in the south east
  24. Leo97t
    Almost zero chance from current modeling. Would require uppers of 18C+ being sustained over a few days
  25. Leo97t
    GEM looking unbelievable. Huge and fairly stable southerly flow being pulled up
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