NTC
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Posts posted by NTC
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3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
They didn't have the advanced sciences that we have now, so there was less shared knowledge.
Or they just got on with their lives and didn't think every type of weather as an issue. Some years it floods 2007, some years is snows heavily 2009, some years it is dry and hot 2022. There is no need to turn every weather event into something to be concerned about.
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1 minute ago, Nick L said:
It's not just this summer though. There have been plenty of instances in the last 10 years where we've gone weeks without rainfall and then one huge dump of rain brings us back up to the monthly average.
And besides, our climate has changed rapidly in the last few decades. This is not up for debate, it's fact.
Did the people of 1975 and 1976 go this is a change in climate or did they just think what a lovely summer lets hope it rains soon.
Mosy years had periods of dry weather for weeks nothing new.
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23 minutes ago, Nick L said:
Just more evidence that our climate is shifting from regular, reliable rainfall to long droughts and deluges.
Oh come on its one year when we have a drought and one day of a deluge so things must be changing? What about every other year when weather does something you don't expect.
Did every summer have floods because 2007 had them?
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35 minutes ago, reef said:
The story of the summer! We were forecast a max of 21C and heavy rain showers, instead we had one shower mid-morning which gave just 0.2mm and now its sunny and up to 25.9C!
We've had a total of 7.8mm so far this month as everything has missed us.
Becareful what you wish for:
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There has been no Atlantic hurricane activity for 317 days but this could change with a tropical storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico, also a potential storm brewing near Africa. So the season appears to be getting going. So could these features affect our weather?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/08/19/tropics-storm-atlantic-hurricane/
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20 hours ago, Sunny76 said:
I don’t know why people say you shouldn’t kill them. I hate those fookers
When they start paying the rent and council tax then they can stay until then they are intruders and get what they get.
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8 hours ago, Midlands Ice Age said:
Agree with this post...
But I would also add that the base level La Nina state. seems to have pushed all the weather 'bands' further North.
Starting with the Antarctic which has been colder than average, then the Southern Hadley Cell, next the La Nina itself clearly has pushed the systems Northwards into the NH US continent, - which downstream has left the UK (and Europe) prone to the Hadley Cell (Azores High) also pushing more towards us this year.
The 'overall' effect seems to be that the southern hemisphere has become colder than the 1970 to 2000 average, whereas the Northern continents have become warmer..
To illustrate this I have taken today's Climate Renalyser. One day I know, but this pattern has been evident for most of the summer.
and
- It also shows clearly why we have had little hurricane activity this year so far, with slightly below average SST's in the 'return' leg across the Atlantic to the Caribbean being a bit below normal this year from the African continent. (together with MB's SST chart above)
MIA
Shockingly quiet in the tropics as study confirms hurricane season is starting sooner | WeatherTiger
WWW.YAHOO.COMWarmer oceans mean an earlier start to hurricane season. How much earlier are we talking? Here's what our research revealed.-
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9 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES said:
The GFS 6Z...well well...
It's becoming quite consistent in building Heights for some length of time. The placement is still yet to be decided,but I would say the growing trend is for potentially more Summer like conditions..What a fitting end to a superb Summer this would be.
Going on that 6z run I would say.
1 where the hell is the Atlantic
2. The Hurricane season does not appear to be getting going very quickly at all!
3. It's Tuesday and still not one drop of rain here at all... Like I said all along this unsettled spell as been watered down and become very hit and miss in nature..It pays to not get to hung up over surface details in the close range at all.
How much closer to Sedgley do you want?
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4 minutes ago, johnholmes said:
Dry and overcast with N Sea startus and a low of 13.7 C
Indeed according to the BBC website we should be basking in sunshine right now with not a cloud in the sky.
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2 minutes ago, Scorcher said:
His agenda is an odd one- seems to be in complete denial.
There is no consensus about a breakdown at all- the models are still chopping and changing for Monday and the heat could still continue into Monday and Tuesday.
I also highly doubt the GFS is overestimating maxima- it's showing 32/33C here for Sunday with uppers around the 18C mark and a favourable wind direction from the SE- it could actually go higher than that.
BBC, Met Office. most people on here say there is a breakdown Monday why are you the only one still insisting it isn't happening Scorcher there IS a breakdown on Monday.
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Just now, Singularity said:
Important to be specific when talking of a breakdown. What is of? In this case a lengthy heatwave, by sometime Sun-Tue.
The troubling aspect for southern UK water reserves is that modelling generally indicates a traditional wettest north, driest south pattern to follow, as the Azores High remains close enough to keep extending across mainland Europe frequently while southern UK gets involved at times too.
By contrast the north may see quite a lot of rain, increasing the sense that we could do with a monumental emergency water transfer pipeline running from Scotland to England. If only!
Yorkshire Water has a circular pipeline which can move water from any part of the region to a dry area ie Pennines to East coast, if they can have this system why can't we have a national pipeline? Surely it can't be that difficult for Yorkshire's system to connect to Trent and Trent connects to.... etc.
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4 hours ago, Scorcher said:
So much wishful thinking from you Mark- why are you so aggressive with this?
Any breakdown is still outside the reliable time frame and these events have a tendency to be extended rather than shortened.
No guarantees than any eventual breakdown will be swift at all and we could well end up with a situation where less hot but still very warm air remains in place well into the new week.
Nothing decided at all and still the scope for this to go on longer.
Why are you so aggressive it won't happen, you will not accept that it will at some point come to an end. Why can't Mark say if he thinks it will end why do you have to be right Scorcher?
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25 minutes ago, seb said:
Haha
Not at all, rain is needed, badly! It’s the “breakdown” stuff when there’s no hint of a breakdown that baffles me
Doesn't this work both ways the people who are obsessed with heat and sunshine they won't admit that there might be a breakdown and it won't still be 30c plus and hot in September and they won't even entertain that it will change and laugh at anyone who dares to suggest there is even a drop of rain on the horizon.
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3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Hot hot hot and even more hot and very dry conditions again on show from all 3 models!personally i think gfs has lost the plot with that deep low after day 10 but lets see!!
You clearly haven't viewed Netweather's Jet Stream Forecast then?
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32 minutes ago, al78 said:
I would issue a level 2 abuse alert for the weather forecasters.
UK heatwave: Weather forecasters report unprecedented trolling
WWW.BBC.CO.UKMeteorologists from the BBC and elsewhere faced abuse as they reported on the UK's record heat.
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2 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
If only weekly forecasts took a week to present, eh? If they did, we'd all be 'in the know'!
They don't need a week take the city names off the map and plonk some numbers instead, most people know where Manchester & London are the names are not needed.
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3 minutes ago, Scorcher said:
Totally bizarre how they use Liverpool as the only place on the map in NW England though- being on the coast it's not representative of a very highly populated region.
In a westerly flow you can expect Manchester to be 2 or 3 degrees warmer in the summer.
Try living in Yorkshire and only having Hull as the only place east of the Pennines, we have to decide if Liverpool or Manchester or Birmingham or Norwich is right.
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Source of River Thames dries out 'for first time' as drought continues in England
UK.YAHOO.COMThe source of the Thames has dried up as drought conditions continue to hit England. Months of little rainfall, combined with record-breaking temperatures in July, have left rivers at exceptionally low levels...
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12 hours ago, Don said:
Could well be the calm before the storm.....
One of two things, they all got what they had been waiting for 40 plus degrees & beating the record that there is nothing left to aim for in reality or now the records beaten it's no fun anymore. The excitement is seeing the present wrapped under the tree once it's opened....
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2 minutes ago, Freeze said:
With all the coverage of London you'd think it was the capital, eh?
You would think Sky News wasn't a national broadcaster and just itv news London EH?, if they hadn't broke out in London would they have bothered to go and film it, they didn't bother yesterday when fires were elsewhere, levelling up and all that the media still only wants to report London.
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13 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:
Truly scary scenes coming out of London
There are fires in other places it's only scary scenes because they are only showing London not fires from the rest of UK.
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Current Maximum Temperatures
40c
Robin Hood Airport
HumbersideYorkshire now the hottest.
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People in 1976 probably thought every summer would be the same and it wasn't there is no reason to think 40c will happen again the timings were right, like snow on the equator or 30c in Russia. They happen but now people will expect 40c every year.
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1 minute ago, Snow Shoes said:
Just reached 40c at Heathrow
Where have you been for the last hour? Its been 40c for ages.
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Summer 2022 Chat
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Or wanting every weather event to mean something bad when it doesn't. So it is dry and hot this summer so? Next summer might be cold and wet it's what happens.