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Porto

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Everything posted by Porto

  1. Porto
    GFS 00z more or less similar to the last run, perhaps fractionally cooler (raw temps suggest 36c instead of the 37c in the 18z run) but really its practically identical up until Thursday.
  2. Porto
    Oh wow you're right! Well I suppose Heathrow and Northolt then.. https://www.kentonline.co.uk/gravesend/news/famous-weather-station-closed-191601/
  3. Porto
    It seems that in order to probably get our 40c+ we'd still have to see more westward movement to guarantee 23c+ uppers to sit over London. As Heathrow/Northolt are the most likely to be able to hit those temperatures. I suppose Gravesend isnt out of the picture either. Regardless its definitely apparent that we're gonna be seeing high 30's somewhere in the South East, unless we get some "badly" placed thunderstorms of course.
  4. Porto
    Not too dissimilar from the last one, seems slightly less heat to the west, but more up the east coast in this scenario. Temps should be similar to the ones shown on the ECM, UKV, ICON, ARPEGE.
  5. Porto
    EDIT: Ok thats definitely 38c ICON indeed going for around 36c in the far South East, maybe even a tiny little area of 38c there? Hard to tell this far zoomed out.
  6. Porto
    The difference between the midday charts for Thursday and Friday sure are stark! Uppers drop from 23c to as low as 9/10c in the South East.
  7. Porto
    ECM looks to be marginally west at T96, although hard to do direct comparisons due to the 12 hour difference.
  8. Porto
    GEM showing 36c in North London, 38c in the Norfolk area for Thursday. Wouldn't be too far off its rocker as long as you don't add ontop of those temperatures like the GFS/ECM.
  9. Porto
    Wed/Thurs temps on the Euro around the same before, 34c/35c ish which could mean up to 36c/37c locally, maybe higher but it really depends on cloud cover and how quickly that low moves in.
  10. Porto
    ECM 0z uppers seemingly the same as they were on the 12z (maybe slightly faster on being pushed out) keeping a decent amount of heat until at least Friday still. If anything it feels like the ECM and GFS are getting further away from each other the closer we get to the event...
  11. Porto
    A lot of the GFS ensembles seem to agree on the heat being pushed out by Thursday, but the main 0z GFS run itself doesn't agree. Split still exists although if taking it at face value, the even hotter scenario is looking less likely.
  12. Porto
    There's actually a UK equivalent of this website, showing in Celsius and the BST timezone. https://meteologix.com/uk/model-charts/euro/united-kingdom/temperature/20190726-1200z.html
  13. Porto
    35c now on the met office forecast for Northolt in NW London. Already 24c in South London, 25c in Bournemouth
  14. Porto
    It's honestly been dead on here, correct times for the first initial passing of snow and then a quieter period. Might justve been lucky though
  15. Porto
    Met Office keeps extending the snowfall forecast here, lasting throughout the entirety of Friday and into early Saturday morning. Im having a hard time believing that will happen but we'll see
  16. Porto
    Thats just the M4 wall of doom kicking in
  17. Porto
    Im on higher ground in S London (150m ish) and its just starting to get to the ground, very light though
  18. Porto
    Could be imagining it, but smatterings of the Thames Streamer could be starting up.
  19. Porto
    Because the amber warning goes slightly into the London & SE area, but its a separate warning.
  20. Porto
    Interestingly the Met Office forecast for around here on their website suggests around 9 hours of snow. On their updated website, it suggests up to 24 hours of snow.
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