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Premiere Neige

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Everything posted by Premiere Neige

  1. Premiere Neige
    In that case I don't think I'll bother!
  2. Premiere Neige
    A few months ago La Nina was forecast to be a weak affair (slight possibility of going moderate) as I recall. Has there been a change of thinking or is it just the CANSIPS model forecasting moderate-strong?
  3. Premiere Neige
    2018?
  4. Premiere Neige
    I'd happily take an SSW and roll the dice as I can't see anything else delivering the goods in this perpetual autumn
  5. Premiere Neige
    I'm sure I read somewhere yesterday that the cold area is expected to warm over the next couple of weeks....
  6. Premiere Neige
    Doesn't this chart posted by knocked show more of a warming over Canada though? I did see charts earlier in the week which showed a eurasian warming so not sure if something has changed or just different models showing different outcomes... ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-t10_anom-5028800.webp
  7. Premiere Neige
    Not surprising given recent minimal of -27
  8. Premiere Neige
    Their monthly outlook which runs up to 13th December is at odds with the seasonal forecast though, suggesting frosty weather....
  9. Premiere Neige
    Let's hope the CFS is correct with its strat warming forecast!
  10. Premiere Neige
    Hopefully that cooling starts to stretch out into the deeper waters further west.
  11. Premiere Neige
    Watching the winter updates on Gavs weather vids, the pattern matching and analogues done so far have pointed to a cold February and March.
  12. Premiere Neige
    1. We're still in September. 2. Since when have long range model forecasts been reliable?
  13. Premiere Neige
    And yet parts of the USA have seen the most brutal cold in a generation....
  14. Premiere Neige
    Did it? I had a snowfall on 2nd of April...
  15. Premiere Neige
    We don't get any real warmth in August? I'm sorry but I have to disagree with you. Unless you're calling "real warmth" 35c +
  16. Premiere Neige
    If this easterly does come off, would the longevity of the cold spell be affected by the length of time it has taken to get there? I'm thinking in comparison to last year's fairly quick response to the SST which was great for snow and low temperatures but blasted through and beyond us very quickly.
  17. Premiere Neige
    Nope! I've ordered the whole lot to be dumped on S63
  18. Premiere Neige
    This ties in with the thoughts of BBC forecast from earlier in the week as they suggested an increased snow risk next week.
  19. Premiere Neige
    I heard somewhere that cold winters generally tend to appear in the year following solar minimum. Not sure how true that is but may bode well for next winter, assuming we are at or near solar minimum right now....
  20. Premiere Neige
    Carol Kirkwood said on BBC Breakfast that next week there would be a greater chance of snow for a larger part of the country....
  21. Premiere Neige
    Let's hope it's on the money!
  22. Premiere Neige
    Beijing Climate Centre model has northern blocking in place through most of February as well. Don't know if that model is any good in terms of verification stats.
  23. Premiere Neige
    We did in Yorkshire too. I believe Topcliffe recorded a minimum of -19 on several nights and Doncaster airport-15.
  24. Premiere Neige
    No you're not. I said the very same thing this morning after a few wrist splashy type posts....
  25. Premiere Neige
    And it's the same every morning lately then upgrades later in the day. So just wait a few hours
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