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Everything posted by XtremeUKWeather
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
XtremeUKWeather replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wow , are the Arome ensembles public ? -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
XtremeUKWeather replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
WWW.METEOCIEL.FR Meteociel propose de manière régulière le modèle à maille fine HARMONIE 0.03° de KNMI (météo néerlandaise) sur 2 zones (Belgique, Pays-Bas) -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
XtremeUKWeather replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
XtremeUKWeather replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
BBC graphics on telly use ECM i think thatsw= why -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
XtremeUKWeather replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
XtremeUKWeather replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So far NNN 2km is accurate with the band of precip currently UKV, ECM, ICON all way off Harmonie somewhat similar as well -
Lovely GFS mean Eventful weather week coming up: - Troughs in the flow providing surprise snow for some - Fronts providing longer time of precip - And showers of course from northern direction Slack wind as well so evaporative cooling will be aided hugely, Also need to keep in mind not everyone wlll see something , which is fine as potential is weirdly high this winter as we head into 2021 Exciting times, I think uppers shouldn't be a big worry now as other factors will be helping bring the snow line down to sea level!!!!!1 ALSO Fax charts from met office are going to very important in helping identify troughs etc
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS and UKMO GFS has been consistent with bringing in north easterlies next Tuesday, whereas UKMO has been showing the low stay right over us This is because the low is much more west on UKMO Some uncertainty there and needs monitoring ! -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not there just yet -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
First in ICON12Z -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We need more people like you! Calmly realized your mistake and apologized -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS is setting us up for a mental breakdown once again There are signs of the strong SPV to down well into Troposphere Which might bust our chances for atleast 3/4 of January -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it just me or does this GFS flip remind anyone else of January earlier this year where the models fliped from that easterly like 3-4 days before ? Could this be a flip but in our favour this time Lets Hope so! -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep and im sure most of us would rather have a cold HP than the current lemon -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into Christmas
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - late November
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - late November
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - late November
XtremeUKWeather replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
XtremeUKWeather replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree here , we need to monitor shorter range charts with UKMO and GFS and spot slight changes like this And move forward to the end of november with a continued pattern/ set up like this, and then we can start focusing on getting real cold in