Sceptical
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Posts posted by Sceptical
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3 hours ago, Ross Andrew Hemphill said:
Cold setting in early perhaps??
Swings and roundabouts?
Less than a week ago, parts of central and eastern Europe were 10c higher than normal.
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On 25/10/2019 at 08:27, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:
"Major winter to match one of the greats in 20th century during next 3 years"....High Confidence
Can I ask when you made the above statement?
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6°C but feeling raw in the strong westerly wind.
Cloudy with frequent blustery showers.
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6 minutes ago, Northernlights said:
Yes we had our wet spell last half of May and more or less the whole of June when I could not get onto the fields with a very light old 1960s tractor to sow turnips as it was so wet. I can never remember in the last 50 years such a wet May/ June spell so this dryer autumn has been a great relief. It has mainly been brought about by the return of our prevailing SW winds which put us in the rain shadow of the mountains to the south and west.
Thanks for the information
Hopefully this dry sunny period continues for a wee while longer.
I could get used to this
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1 hour ago, Frost HoIIow said:
I wouldn't worry about it mate. If I recall last Winter they sometimes in the extended outlook said "chance of it turning colder or much colder later in the period. However signals are weak for this at present"....... only for it to be the complete opposite come the time.
Correct, but now we have Met Office and Meteogroup in general agreement.
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1 hour ago, Don said:
I just hope we don't don't get a 2013/14 repeat. People might say that cold and snow is bad, but snow does not destroy homes like flood waters do!
Pretty sure that 2013/14 produced some incredible conditions for the Scottish ski centres. I'd gladly settle for that again.
Just checked and it was the same time as the Sochi winter Olympics.
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Sking/snowboarding.
Who is heading off and where?
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12 minutes ago, Don said:
Unfortunately the metoffice 30 day forecast has changed today with more of an emphasis on west/south westerly winds through the middle of November and the incidence of milder spells increasing. I know they could be very wrong, but it's not what I wanted to see.......
It could, and probably will change within a week. Everything still to play for. Realistic expectations etc, etc.
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1 hour ago, Aleman said:
That's SETTLED snow. I've been watching it come in on radar over a couple of days. It's hardly going to settle on soaking wet, warm ground when it's been coming in as showers.
That's odd,given the snow that fell Thursday evening did stick. The Lecht car park had snow cover when I viewed the various ski resort cams on Friday morning.
A cursory glance at Nevis and Glencoe today clearly shows snow cover, albeit patchy, for both resorts.
Snow will stick in the Cairngorms during summer months.
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14 minutes ago, Aleman said:
Radar has shown lots of snow showers on higher ground Friday and overnight - first on middle to high ground in NW Scotland and then following the cold band of air down the western coast, to include parts of higher ground in Ireland and Northern England, including the Northern Pennines. Warm, soaking ground means it was not going to settle in most places but the original poster had a good chance of seeing snow if he went across the A66 to the Tan Hill Inn last night, as suggested a week ago on the back of model output that seemed unlikely but turned out not so far off.
You're not based in Scotland are you?
The A66 is in England.
Check out snow on the Scottish mountains thread or the regional Scotland thread. The reports on there suggested a dusting of snow across the mountains.
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4 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
One of the most disgusting Autumns i can recall.
Sick of it ..
Its the complete opposite up in NE Scotland, sunshine all day, feeling cold and crispy. I dont keep records, but this Autumn seems to be much drier than normal.
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45 minutes ago, Aleman said:
The question was asked a week ago and it has been snowing on lots of high ground in Scotland. It has warmed an odd degree there since yesterday when snow was coming in at modest heights along the NW coast. The coldest strip has moved further south. It's currently only 5.0C in Dublin and 4.9C in Scarborough and below 0C atop the Pennines. BBC showed a little snow on the northern edge of the front on highest ground of northern England. A degree cooler and there would have been widespread snow. So, not a "white-out" but closer than some forecasts you get a week ahead of time and our original poster might well have seen a little snow if he took note of the advice given in answer to his question
There hasn't been a lot of snow falling across the Scottish mountains this week. A quick review of the webcams will confirm this.
What part of Scotland do you live in?
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Central heating is still off, unprecedented given how late it is in the season. Long sunny days means the house heats up quickly in the morning
Wood burning stove is used if it's cold enough.
Currently 6°C outside, inside 18°C.
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6 minutes ago, Mattwolves said:
Interesting thoughts from Jon Hammond of weather trending...... Basically stating that even though the models are pointing to mild weather prevailing through winter, forecasters are twitchy about this confidence from the models. With oceanic, atmospheric and astronomical factors, that may affect our winter, and several of these are currently muted, or contradictory! The momentum is not as one sided as the models seem to suggest! There is suspicion that their predictions may change over the coming weeks!! And I suppose I would say, their would be some nervous forecasters who are still pondering over last years big fail from these models also.
UK Winters generally range from cool to mild. That's what I base my expectations on and I'm seldom surprised at the outcome.
If the Scottish mountains catch enough snow for a decent snowboarding season, that's a huge bonus.
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1 hour ago, northwestsnow said:
So after months and months of neg NAO the flip has occured.
Brilliant,just brilliant.
Oh dear......
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Winter 2014 at Glenshee.
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Another bright sunny morning.
Slight frost overnight.
Temperatures 4°c
The generally dry and sunny theme continues
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1 hour ago, Airedalejoe said:
Another cold wet one, 4c. Frosty yesterday morning then wet and cold afternoon onwards.
Just looked at current London temp, 16c!!! Different world down south, can't remember the last time it reached 16 here as a daytime high!
We managed a 13°C on Thursday, by Friday morning that was down to 1°C. Apparently the region I live in has recorded the greatest number of sub -20°C temperatures in the UK. The last very cold temperatures to hit the area was -25°C noted back in early January 2010.
Since then, I think -14°c last January has been the lowest around these parts.
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2 minutes ago, NorthernRab said:
I think you're getting mixed up with Snowdon vs Snowdonia? Snowdon is the 1000m+ mountain itself whereas Snowdonia is the general area. Similar to the Cairngorms encompassing a much larger than Cairn Gorm itself, though admittedly much of this is a plateau within a Scandinavian tundra climate so definitely not suited for late October marathons!
It is however perfect for the army to teach arctic warfare and survival. The 30/30/30 rule certainly applies to this area.
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On 20/10/2019 at 10:24, Aleman said:
Lots of snow covering most of Scotland next Saturday?
I think we can safely rule that out.
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BBC news article on Icelands disappearing glaciers.
Images reveal Iceland's glacier melt
WWW.BBC.CO.UKA photography project has highlighted the extent of ice loss from Iceland’s largest glaciers. -
Light wintry showers
1°C with very little wind.
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8 minutes ago, Aleman said:
It's snowing (showers) in NW Scotland now. Showers offshore are showing as sleet at sea level so it must be snow down to a fairly low level. Showers on northerlies are predicted into Tuesday so one would imagine there could be a several places reach modest accumulations on higher ground and some chilly nights in the glens.
Not unusual for the Cairngorms at this time of year, I've seen impressive snowfall up there in June/July 2001.
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12°c, sunny with little in the way of cloud.
Mild southerly wind.
So far a dry and sunny Autumn with only a couple of ice days.
Upcoming winter speculation and chat - October edition
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by Sceptical
Ties in with a report I read on AMOC.
"in the unlikely event of AMOC shutting down, the most likely outcome would be temperatures in Northern Hemisphere continuing to rise"