Georgina

Merry Christmas , Sometimes there’s more important things in life than the weather , I hope you get better real soon ! Have a wonderful Christmas

Because it’s confusing and when you’re learning you have very little confidence in what your thinking yourself so you watch and read and learn , when people put “it’s awful” you start as a novice to question yourself and what you’ve learnt , it’s just helpful that’s all , I thought this forum was about being helpful and learning and helping others especially when the models are so up and down ! No disrespect taken ,Thankyou for taking the time to reply

I really dont understand how some people say ecm is great tonight and has come into line and some are saying it’s awful , please can people say why it’s awful I understand everyone has different views but it would help if they actually explained there opinion and views ! Sorry to moan xx

Not at 7.24 in the morning I’m not I dislike maths at the best of times ! I do agree that the ecm seems very cautious but sometimes that’s not a bad thing Xx

I have very very little knowledge not like you guys at all , but from watching the models for a few years it’s nearly always the gfs that comes into line with the ecm ! If we have a stubborn ecm it usually ends with the gfs downgrading and the ecm slightly moving towards the gfs to meet in the middle ! of course I’m probably wrong as I say not as experienced as you guys

Muffborough

Thankyou I understand now thanks

This may be a stupid question but how can you tell if the op is an outlier and what does that exactly mean does it mean that it’s not worth looking at ? Thanks and sorry for the daft question xx

Well I for one am very confused by the other thread

Why is it a concern please ? xx

Hi everyone I for one hope the trends south stop around the uk mid way latitude Still good momentum for the snow event as far as I can see Enjoy the ride xx Georgie

It’s like a net weather advent calendar

This is a fantastic post From a newbies POV , really positive and telling us what to keep an eye out for Thankyou

Hi everyone x I can certainly see a promising set of 12z runs from Derbyshire, not sure everyone else shares the same view I’m certainly no expert but I feel it's too early to get caught up on snow past fantasy point which according to other posters is around 168h If it can change it will and who says it wont be in our favour ! Honestly, save yourself some worry for the festive period Georgie x

Ok so the first technical post from me, lets see what I've learnt The models are still clearly struggling, so anything after 168 hours has to be taken with a pinch of salt as do any snow details. Have scrolled through a fair few pages of pure worry about snow 200 hours away It's clear that there's been a big shift in the last 24 hours in favour of us coldies, though there is still big uncertainties as this is against climatology big time, models will underperform, so no point throwing abstract percentages around, nor taking op runs as gospel - Don't worry about what you can't control. So let's just sit back and enjoy the ride. Georgie xx ❄

Well if you’re confused there’s no hope for me

Sorry could you tell me what the graph shows please ? Obviously there’s a lot of scatter that I can see but what does this mean ?

Can you back this with charts please ? So we can see where you get your thoughts from ? Thanks

I’ve never heard that saying before thanks for clearing that up

Die in matlock what’s wrong with Matlock

Thankyou for explaining , yes I’d love some more cold and snowy conditions especially over the Christmas period ! But I do know it’s very difficult for our little island to be able to get snow so I’m crossing everything at the minute x

Hi sorry what are those charts you w posted ? And what signal am I looking for ? Sorry to be a pain x

Thankyou for your easy to read posts and for being so dam cheery

What happened in that period of weather ? X

Hi sorry to ask but what is this ?