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NApplewhite

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Everything posted by NApplewhite

  1. NApplewhite
    In the short term look at the awful weather across Wales at the moment
  2. NApplewhite
    A nice day on Tuesday but then look at the Jetstream by Friday!
  3. NApplewhite
    Yes as i thought its going to be a one or two day warm spell then it gets swept away! its a repeat of June - predictions of temps in the high 30s and low 40s feels like temps are washed away as we get nearer the event! Cold Front will sweep the heat away from all but London and the South East by Thursday am.
  4. NApplewhite
    Massive downgrade of temps at D7-D10 on the GFS 18Z. Temps down 10-14C on the forecast for the period Wednesday 24th July to Friday July 26th 2019. I predict it will be a two day heatwave then back to average.
  5. NApplewhite
    Looking good in Southern England
  6. NApplewhite
    Looking like a massive heatwave Monday to Thursday next week - GFS has 37 in Manchester and 40 degrees in Sheffield then temperatures plunging to 13 by D10 . Rain across London at the moment and turning fresher today
  7. NApplewhite
    Remember what happened with the last hot thundery plume predictions a few weeks ago ! It was massively downgraded into a one day SE wonder ! I wont believe the GFS 06Z until much nearer the time. However, Its going to be gloriously hot and sunny across England today so enjoy the blue skies and sunshine and tonights partial eclipse of the moon.
  8. NApplewhite
    I'd agree - forecasts yesterday of high temperatures in places Like London have gone and the models are showing a lot of precipitation across the UK over the next 240 hours and only average temperatures. Looks like various troughs will cross the UK over the next 10 days.
  9. NApplewhite
    No sign of a heatwave then for the next 16 days! Very disappointing
  10. NApplewhite
    End of July is looking very wet anywhere north and west of London and the South East.
  11. NApplewhite
    Average pressure in July and High pressure throughout August. Sadly the orientation of the High is to the NW so id expect average temperatures due to the NW origin of the air.
  12. NApplewhite
    Long term GFS forecast shows a heatwave on the 5th to 9th July 2019 focused on london with temps of up to 34 to 36. But this is probably FL
  13. NApplewhite
    Various models are showing much fresher weather from Sunday! Rain moving in from the N Atlantic! Very disappointed with the plume non event!
  14. NApplewhite
    I knew the surface temps would be downgraded! i posted last Tuesday / Wednesday that GFS was overcooking the temperatures. Temps of 33 at night have been downgraded to 9 on the latest run in London! GFS is very inaccurate. This plume is going to be a non event at the surface. However i am looking forward to the electrical storms across Wales and England tonight! Could be a spectacular event with torrential rain and many lightning strikes (though it could disrupt travel)
  15. NApplewhite
    Seeing a downgrade of CAPE values in GFS 06Z for Monday.
  16. NApplewhite
    I've got a feeling that we are facing a massive downgrade in the 12Z GFS and it will turn into just a brief warm rather than hot spell. No support from ECMWF of the extreme GFS values. I'm feeling down and very pessimistic now
  17. NApplewhite
    Meteogroup Weather app forecast is now saying the following MANCHESTER NEXT WEEK (feels like temps in brackets) Sunday - 21 (22) Monday - 23 (26) Tuesday - 23 (27) Wednesday - 25 (28) Thursday - 23 (25) Friday -21 (23) LONDON Sunday - 25 (27) Monday - 27 (31) Tuesday - 28 (34) Wednesday - 30 (37) Thursday - 26 (30) Friday -25 (28) First week of July only 21 - 22 in London
  18. NApplewhite
    Looking like 42 degrees feels like Temp in London on Tuesday, 43 degrees on Wednesday and a distinctly cold 34 degrees on Thursday. ! London will be like a furnace all next week!
  19. NApplewhite
    Sorry to bring everyone back down to earth but GFS 06z is terrible by the end of the period
  20. NApplewhite
    Id be happy if it felt like 41! I'm in London all next week !
  21. NApplewhite
    This is showing a brief tropical heatwave next week! i dont believe this will actually happen! there were no signs of this so surely GFS is way off the mark with this! According to Meteogroup temps might reach 23 to 26 on Tuesday then low 20s rest of next week. Just across the Channel in Paris it will be 35 degrees! I hope we can get some of that continental heat after a freezing May and June. Have had the central heating on high all month!
  22. NApplewhite
    Surely this is a mistake - GFS says 41 degrees C in London at day 10! I bet it's downgraded to 18 degrees by the 12z run!
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