I'm in the risk area for all of the 25+ storm forcasts for today It's pretty clear to my South West, but I have this Tower to my North East ? (Shrewsbury)
That's exactly why it caught me by surprise Being honest, not too sure what he means by sustained upper ridging, but apparently that's the reason for the cancellation!
I could understand poor accuracy if it was a destabilising plume (don't think it is) but in my short term of being a fan of the weather, I've always assumed that simple(ish) low pressure systems should be easier to predict?