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AMeltedFlake

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Everything posted by AMeltedFlake

  1. AMeltedFlake
    Not 100% sure how the model runs works, but the 21Z 2am model compared to the live rainfall is around 100 miles too far east!
  2. AMeltedFlake
    I didn't know that the MOGREPS even existed, so that's interesting to know the bulk of rain off the coast Cornwall has been forecasted to move across the south of the UK, looks like its still heading NE at the moment.
  3. AMeltedFlake
    I was thinking the same! Is it a common theme for the UKV to move everything east?
  4. AMeltedFlake
    Couple of sferics detected in that cell!
  5. AMeltedFlake
    Are these flashes from the showers to the south?
  6. AMeltedFlake
    I think the cell that you've just had is heading towards me! Let's see if it's still rumbling...
  7. AMeltedFlake
    You're correct, they dont seem to be electrifying, although the radar is apparently maxing out at rainfall amount. Not sure if they'll pick up tonight whilst moving north.
  8. AMeltedFlake
    Do lightning detector sites struggling to register cloud to cloud strikes? Looks like some intense showers in the south!
  9. AMeltedFlake
    I believe they will begin to fire off in the next couple of hours?
  10. AMeltedFlake
    Being honest, I'm confused too, GFS/UKV and a few others are showing instability in the east, but other models are showing the west instead!
  11. AMeltedFlake
    In regards to Tuesday, are we looking towards to eastern areas then?
  12. AMeltedFlake
    Are we done with Thundery activity in the west for tonight?
  13. AMeltedFlake
    How will this event tonight compare to Tuesday 23rd July? Less chance of storms this evening?
  14. AMeltedFlake
    Not even a 50% chance of lightning from Estofex! Seems odd to me.
  15. AMeltedFlake
    Do we know when this system will start to move North East? Looks like it's just moving east to me, probably wrong!
  16. AMeltedFlake
    Guessing the cap is too strong for these cells to develop?
  17. AMeltedFlake
    Any reason why the NetWeather Short Range model is showing the main storms to the west of wales up through into Scotland?
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