Raindrops
-
Posts
518 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Raindrops
-
-
-
-
Just a little of something from across the pond.
-
8
-
1
-
-
-
-
Clear to see where Ireland had its storms last night.
ESB Networks | Power Check | Service Interruptions Map
POWERCHECK.ESBNETWORKS.IEESB Networks PowerCheck application provides access to real-time service interruption at your fingertips. View power cut information in a map view.
-
1
-
-
Hey all, was lurking about the past few days during the excitement, some quality footage and photos from you lot from what I got the chance to see, been busy lately studying, looks like the days ahead will see more action for some, a very interesting year so far with activity, can't wait to see what the real plumes bring.
-
3
-
-
I've missed out on a lot, busy studying, how are we all doing?
-
Interesting days ahead for thunderstorm coverage for the whole of Ireland, from early morning hours Friday until Tuesday.
-
2 hours ago, pad199207 said:
Hasn’t a prayer crossing the Irish Sea
Knock knock, you called?
-
The outlook is not looking very active, but I don't always rely on GFS, for now the outlook looks low over the coming days even for us back home in UK/Ireland until the end of May. As claimed by NWS and I agree with below....
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 200841 SPC AC 200841
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 AM CDT Sat May 20 2023
Valid 231200Z - 281200Z
...DISCUSSION...
Upper ridging is expected to persist across the central CONUS throughout much of the extended period, with modest mid-level flow anticipated across the CONUS during this time frame as well. The absence of any large-scale synoptic systems will allow for low-level moisture to be maintained along the southern and western periphery of extensive surface ridging, keeping a large reservoir of 60+ dewpoints over the central and southern Plains. Persistent southwesterly flow aloft is expected across the southern Rockies during this period, helping to support continued lee troughing as well as diurnal thunderstorm initiation over the higher terrain. These thunderstorms could then move into the more moist and unstable conditions across the central/southern High Plains, contributing to some severe storm potential. Additionally, a moderate low-level jet is anticipated nightly across the southern and central High Plains, supporting severe potential late into the evening. However, given the forecast range, overall convective evolution remains uncertain, with preceding thunderstorm activity greatly impacting the following day's severe potential. This limits predictability, resulting in low forecast confidence.
There is some signal in the medium-range guidance that a more substantial southern-stream shortwave trough will move through the Southwest this weekend. However, variability remains high within the guidance, and predictability is low.
Mosier.. 05/20/2023
Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on May 20, 2023
From my point of view I have seen some models showing Thunderstorms rather severe heavy rains/hail so that gives me reason to doubt future forecasting predictions, one say one while the other says different, to add there was a tornado reported to NWS on the 18/5/23 and that was outside the 2% tornado zone even outside the slight risk zone, also I'd like to add it's not always about Tornados I mean who doesn't like a good ol mothership or pancake and perhaps a short-lived tornado or funnel.
Best bet is to stay with now casting over the coming days.
Off-topic: I can finally catch up with JayztwoCents streams.
Edit: For the NW chasers on here going to or are already in the USA defiantly stick with now cast, in the image below..I'm taking a big risk doing this please do not fully go by my predictions, keep an eye open in these areas, yes Tornado ally haha but at little more east. And yes, I give you guy's permission to beat me up over this *waits for the pros*.
Green: watch area
Yellow: Ideal chase area.
-
-
Meanwhile
Live Storm Chasing
LIVESTORMCHASING.COMWatch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand. -
Live Storm Chasing
LIVESTORMCHASING.COMWatch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.
Derick Smith is the closest to the Tornado warning, not a very good stream service.
-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 628 PM CDT FRI MAY 19 2023
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
Edit: cool 500th post for a tornado, worth it.
-
1
-
-
1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:
We have some sort of rotation/swirl now.
I did see it, to the right, amazing towners, I think the cloud bases are rather high at the moment.
-
7 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
Nice Messo on Jack miller's stream...
Live Storm Chasing
LIVESTORMCHASING.COMWatch live feeds as storm chasers try to see if their target verifies. Tornadoes, hurricanes, blizzards, and floods - we've got it all and more, live on our site and available as video on demand.Edit:is that a funnel?
As Dr Timmer would say, a nipple. Gives me hope as he's not in the tornado 2% risk area
.
Edit: I don't see much rotation.
-
Vince has a new camera, now we can see him road rage
-
1
-
-
This dude has a hail net on his car
, hey if it works then why not.
-
Just now, Allseasons-si said:
These two have a nice quality cam
Already on them, some nice Anvils in the area, other streams seem to have blue skies, for now.
-
It’s been a record-long 10 years since the last EF5 tornado happened in the U.S. And while that statistic sounds notable, it doesn't tell the whole story.
May 20, 2013 was a horrifying day. That afternoon, a violent tornado raked through central Oklahoma from Newcastle to Moore to the southern side of Oklahoma City. This single tornado killed 24, injured 207 and was responsible for $2 billion in damage. It was also rated EF5.
-
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227
SUMMARY...The risk mainly for large hail, isolated damaging gusts, and perhaps a tornado will continue this afternoon/evening across portions of eastern OK and the ArkLaTex. Additional storm development over central OK may spread eastward with a severe threat later this afternoon/evening.
-
-
* Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
As good as it gets.