al78
-
Posts
869 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by al78
-
-
18 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
All these years I've been skim reading your name as Emma! LOL. Oh good lord I've lost the plot! Sorry sweety! x
I'm off in the garden now. want to do some gardening but think it'll be too hot! Got too much to catch up on though after this bad spring!
I have still got allotment beds to clear but I will do that after my evening meal today when it has cooled below 20C. Yesterday I did an hours work in the afternoon sun and could feel myself overheating.
-
1
-
-
Found this article (with a massively exaggerated title) on Yahoo news. Within it there is the claim that if it doesn't reach 25C by the end of this month, it will be the ninth time since 1961 that 25C was not reached in the first five months of the year.
UK weather: Met forecasters reveal how long hot conditions will last
UK.YAHOO.COMMet forecasters’ predictions come as the UK is set for a bright SundayThat works out at roughly a 1 in 7 year return period so not particularly noteworthy, although given the climate has warmed over the last 60 years, it is reasonable to think it should be rarer now than in the 1960's.
-
1
-
-
7 hours ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
Yes the temperature was 18c out. Which shouldn't have felt cold but it did to me
I was out in the garden between 5-7pm which was perfect then.
Yea. We need the humidity to keep it up
Oh and i've weighed myself this morning after covid - fully clothed too - and I weight 7stone 4lb right now. So thats why I feel cold people.
Go to the Queen Elizabeth country park and run up Butser hill a few times as fast as you can. You will not feel cold after that.
-
1
-
1
-
-
Just now, *Stormforce~beka* said:
Went for a mini walk around the corner tonight at 9pm in my leggings and jumper and I was cold. Brrr!
I'm not that far from you and when I went out to the nearby coop a little after 9pm in short sleeves I didn't find it cold. It wasn't warm like it would be in a heatwave but it certainly wasn't cold.
-
1
-
1
-
-
44 minutes ago, Sunny76 said:
I want to feel warm, and be able to walk around in a t shirt at 9-10pm on a late May evening. I haven’t been able to do that this year.
This is Britain, not the Mediterranean. It is only T-shirt weather that late in the evening in May when we are under the influence of a warm air mass and anticyclonic conditions, which doesn't happen very often, and has been notable by its absence this spring.
-
Looks like the UK has temporarily swapped climates with the Mediterranean. Looking dry as a Martini for the next week at least, so plenty of exercise in the form of watering my recently planted out allotment crops and smashing the heavy clods of soil off the weed roots as I continue to clear beds I didn't get the chance to clear earlier in Spring because the weather was awful.
We seem to be doing this one extreme or the other again. Soaking wet for over two months then suddenly not a drop of rain in two, possibly three weeks. Whatever happened to the UK having a changeable climate, have we modified it to some hybrid temperate wet and dry version?
-
1
-
-
6 hours ago, Sunny76 said:
That’s why I think the whole cold water therapy is a load of tosh. If you are susceptible to symptoms from cold exposure, why do they suggest people do take the plunge into cold water?
I don't think cold water therapy is generally advised for people who are susceptible to symptoms from cold exposure:
https://www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk/lifestyle/health/study-suggests-cold-water-swimming-28060941
https://www.bupa.co.uk/newsroom/ourviews/cold-water-therapy
At my former workplace there was an outdoor pool and a group of us had a go at cold water swimming through one winter, to the point where we had to carve a lane through the ice in order to swim. Not sure if it had any health benefits but there was a feeling of invigoration afterwards.
-
3 hours ago, plymsunshine said:
Yeah definitely, April was probably our most traditionally "mixed" dry and wet month in ages.
Another very evident flip was April to May 2021 which has to be another very historical switch from dry to wet at the turn of the month, seems to be happening a lot these days!
That was probably more significant in the SE.
March to April 2012 was another big swing, but not as big as February to March this year.
-
1
-
-
The south to north gradient in water deficit (which is small now even in Scotland) is evident on this Uk Centre for Ecology and Hydrology pdf produced at the beginning of May:
https://hydoutuk.net/sites/default/files/2023-05/2023_05_HO_RF_current_conditions.pdf
It is the far north and west of Scotland which currently have the low river levels and moderate to high dryness.
58 minutes ago, dryfie said:Water scarcity situation update for Scotland. Many places in the south approaching official drought conditions.
That is a great photo of Ben Slioch.
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:
My friend has booked the site, it's not that cheap (like £16 a night), alongside events already booked and paid for like axe throwing, and archery.
Trust me, if we hadn't already dropped like £100 on it, I would absolutely be relocating my weekend lol.
Are you looking at Swindon or the South East near the coast?
The met office forecast on my phone is showing 14-17c over the weekend for where we will be camping (Kent Downs area)
If you generally believe the weather will spoil your trip, the logical thing to do if you still want to take a trip is to relocate to a part of the country with much better weather. The £100 you've spent is a sunk cost, whether you go or not you are not getting that back, and spending more on a better weekend away means you have an enjoyable experience instead of a miserable one.
-
13 minutes ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:
The forecast also shows 15c and fully overcast on Monday which is absolutely dire imo. It's Kent, not Fort William.
I agree, that is very poor for SE England at the end of May. It is pretty much identical to the majority of the weather I experienced in Braemar last June.
-
1 hour ago, SummerShower said:
I hope I'm wrong but the models do hint at northern blocking going into June. This is exactly how the summers of 2007 and 2012 started off. I think 1995 and 2019 did too but they improved after the first half of June.
I noticed that as well, the current high influencing the UK drifting north with changeable weather coming into the south (again!). It looks a strange setup across the whole of Europe, the Mediterranean/Southern Europe looks very unsettled given we are knocking on the door of summer, looks more like a negative NAO winter setup.
It is typical the one year I don't go for a hiking/hillwalking holiday in the highlands is the one year I would have the best chance of getting fantastic views from the Munro summits with northerly blocking bringing superb weather to northern Scotland.
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:
Sun finally cleared in London...late afternoon like clockwork.
Why can this not just happen at 1/2 so people can enjoy it during lunch? For god sake!
The same reason people can't zip merge on motorways, or fail to appreciate a sliproad exists to enable you to accelerate up to the speed of the traffic on the road you are joining, not half the speed of the five HGV's barrelling up in lane one, or why dog walkers find it essential to stop and have a conversation in the optium position to cause maximum obstruction of footpaths. Because Britain.
-
1
-
-
9 minutes ago, richie3846 said:
This does seem to be quite a localised situation. I'm around 100 miles west of your location or so, and this May has been fairly well balanced, sunshine may come in above average, and temperatures are absolutely solid, and not because of warm minima. I don't think the majority in UK will remember this to be a horrid month. Very much better than March and April, that's for sure.
May being better than March is like being slapped in the face is better than being repeatedly stabbed and killed, it doesn't mean we should be grateful we only got slapped in the face.
The first half of May in the SE was poor. Dull and wet which had been the theme for most of the prior two months. I expect the occasional spell of poor weather here but when it is week after week after week after week after week with not a single short respite of anticyclonic conditions with a warm air mass to provide a bit of compensation, it makes the days feel like a slog. I can only recall the first half of the Easter weekend as having good Spring weather in the form of plenty of sunshine and warmth. The second half of May is a vast improvement on what we've endured in the SE this season and I am grateful for the dry conditions which have finally allowed me to catch up on gardening jobs. The daytime temperatures are mediocre for the time of year and it has been cloudier than expected this last week but I don't mind if it means we have a break from unsettled conditions. I don't really want >25C at the moment as all that means is I will have to make extra trips to the allotment to pour 100+ litres of water on newly planted out seedlings to keep them alive.
-
5
-
-
1 hour ago, B87 said:
1)I'm not in the CET area. I don't particularly care what the weather is like where it isn't affecting me.
2)Above average mins due to the incessant cloud cover does not help a month feel spring or summer like.
3) The CET completely masks spatial variation in temperature, as has been pointed out umpteen times on here.
-
1
-
-
56 minutes ago, Sunsetglimmer said:
Tbh anything over 13 degrees I don’t need a coat for; don’t know why people wear big coats now tbh, a jumper is just fine, coats are only needed for single digit temps anything in double digits is just not needed and is OTT
I wear a light jacket over a T-shirt which is good for keeping a cool breeze off me whilst not sweating through being overdressed. The jacket also has vents in the arms which helps with ventilation when cycling.
Everyone has their own optimal temperature range for comfort. There is at least one person at my bridge club who once complained it was cold whilst sat under a thermometer displaying 25C. On the other hand, one of my former bridge partners once had to go to hospital after being forced to play in temperatures of 30C and a woman kept closing the window when he opened it for some fresh air.
Temperatures this week have been ideal for working outdoors. Cleared another couple of weedy beds on the allotment and hardly broke a sweat.
-
2
-
-
On 17/05/2023 at 17:40, Optimus Prime said:
Temperature wise this May is nothing like May 2012 which was much cooler than average until the final week.
I remember that final week of May 2012 well. If it weren't for the Jubilee the bank holiday weekend would have seen sunshine with temperatures in the high 20's. As it happened the bank holiday was shifted to one of the worst weekends of weather you can get in the SE in early June. On the last Sunday in that May I was on a group walk in the Surrey hills and at the pub lunch, I started to feel unwell because we were sat outside in full sun and it was just blazing down on me. I had to go indoors to the loo and cool down, at one point I thought I was going to be sick.
-
1
-
-
Currently 18C downstairs at least, I don't have a thermometer upstairs.
-
On the one hand I am glad of the dry settled spell. Conditions have been perfect for clearing allotment beds, erecting a bean frame and planting out more crops. On the other hand, the frequent cloudiness is disappointing given sunshine forecasts for the weekend just gone were much more optimistic than what happened. Today is even worse, a continuous layer of cloud suppressing the daytime temperatures again. It is very unusual for me to be periodically feeling a bit chilly indoors in long sleeves at the end of May, normally it would be over 20C in my lounge but is still struggling to get past 18C currently with 10 days to go before the meteorological summer.
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, Snowy L said:
The perfect late May chart.
When was the last time we saw a big anticyclone slapped over the UK like that?
-
2
-
-
On 12/05/2023 at 22:23, Don said:
I certainly can't see it being a cooler than average summer, even compared to the 1991-2020 average. However, I think there is a fair chance it will be wetter than average.
I'd go with this, although I wouldn't say there was a fair chance of a wetter than average summer, more like a small bias towards wetter being more likely than drier based on the developing El Nino and the Met Office 3 month contingency planner.
-
1
-
-
40 minutes ago, Weatherman_93 said:
Met Office Long Range;
Monday 29 May - Monday 12 Jun
The most likely scenario for the end of May is for drier weather in the north, with an increased chance of periods of rain and possibly thunder in the south and southwest. Into June, high pressure is predicted to remain dominant, especially for northern areas, with cloud, rain and showers more likely to the south, although there is a level of uncertainty associated with this. An increased likelihood of above average temperatures for many.
It doesn't look good if you take the most pessimistic interpretation possible. A 2021 repeat is about the most extreme example of that outlook, and the chances are it will not be that bad in the south. After the spring we've had in the SE I'll take that outlook as an improvement. It even says in the outlook there is a level of uncertainty.
-
1 minute ago, Sunny76 said:
The bad news is, it’s not going to improve for us southern or south easterners during June either. We will be stuck under cloud wet conditions, with possible thunderstorms, while the north west of Scotland and other northern areas are basking in sunshine.
It’s summer 2021 all over again!
How do you know?
-
2
-
-
Just now, In Absence of True Seasons said:
So do the Met / BBC etc have no human staff? What do the staff do? Can you not manually update the apps to reflect what the weather *currently* is?
Because it's embarrassing when you're telling people it's "sunny and 18c" at 1pm when it's actually 11c and thick cloud.
There has been a lot of closure of regional Met offices in the interests of cost cutting and austerity, so that's what happens. Snip snip cost cut dump the consequences on others is straight out of the neo-liberal handbook.
-
1
-
Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Yay, at least one person has got it.