Eagle Eye
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Posts posted by Eagle Eye
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listening to this consider that development was meant to start around 10 so the first one popping up now is a very good sign
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no thunderstorms this morning forecasted so in the meanwhile time-lapse
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they just vanished into thin air
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they are growing though
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looks like cumulus congestus but one is growing really fast
3 minutes ago, KentHC_WX said:Hate to be the bearer of bad news but they are nowhere near thunderstorms or a squall line forming. My deepest apologies.
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got 2 storms one that is mature and in the distance and one that looks like a squall line trying to form
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whilst looking at windy. com it'll be as close as about a few 100 metres
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looking at the met Office i should have lightning nearby from 1pm to 4pm although apart from 1pm to 2 pm very distant
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met Office not looking good apart from late afternoon
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1 hour ago, viking_smb said:
yep, totally agree, think xpander just gets excited.
i was saying how it doesn't sound good
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accuweather hasn't been very reliable just noticed a 40 percent storm chance
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has anyone else noticed that today's chance has been creeping up
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any chance of it moving east
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5 minutes ago, Zak M said:
You probably have more of a chance winning the lottery than getting a supercell the size of the UK lol
i would say once in a lifetime so probably around the same chance
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i meant when we first heard it it was too far out
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i think i know what we all want to happen this year, a supecell the size of the uk probably and it's probably not going to happen but then again we thought we wouldnt be talking about thursday this week a few days ago
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looks like i might get some good pictures from the tailend of the storm
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11 hours ago, Zak M said:
Yes! I saw so many of those clouds this morning. At around 11am today there were some cirrus that were EXACTLY in the shape of a cumulonimbus cloud.
same here
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probably not, but it might go southwards
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13 minutes ago, Nick F said:
03z UKV ppn looking quite lively for Thursday, timing of storms to develop and their clearance east uncertain for now. As other have said, models maybe too quick, upper trough seen upper wind charts moving E/NE likely to engage warm, humid and unstable air in place over eastern England on Thursday, with large scale ascent ahead of the trough likely to trigger the storms.
GFS probably doing is usual over-egging of CAPE, but looks to be some reasonable deep layer shear ahead of the trough, so storms could organise with perhaps one or two supercells not out the question - with large hail,frequent lightning, strong wind gusts possible.
one or two supercells, why does it sound like you're just saying it casually
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finnaly something that says thunderstorms for me
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oh dear, for some reason bbc is saying on friday, every other weather channel says thursday
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On 13/05/2020 at 15:36, Xanderp009 said:
signs of rotation even if it is over 7 days away.
hmm isn't it remnants of tropical storm arthur
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thinking about it probably thinks i meant the woodchurch in liverpool
Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
look on lightning maps