sheikhy
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Posts posted by sheikhy
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Stationary Front fantastic events all of em for the midlands!!and those winters did not have as good background signals as this one!!says a lot doesnt it
!!!!!
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andy_leics22 winter was done and dusted ages ago as well man!!!horrible rainy morning here in oadbeh!!!!
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Mcconnor8 yeh looks like it was having one of those stupid moments on the 06z!!!!
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MattStoke massive fail for the model at just 36 hours out!!meant to be a higher resolution model but what is the point if its getting things that badly wrong at a ridiculously short time frame!!!!one to keep in mind for future events similar to this one!!
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stripeyfox not really buddy!!!models have gone the wrong way since 18z!!!expecting a horrible sleety day tomorrow!!!
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Sweatyman sums up the winter unfortunately buddy!!!one of the worst in recent times for us!!!!literally nothing of note from start to finish!!!you gota give the guys in the MOD thread some credit for even continuing to search lol!!i gave up mid january and that was out of experience of being on here and kinda knowing where wr are gona be heading regardless of an SSW or a good looking mjo or AAM!!even when background signals have looked good and they were all animated in there the NWP output still showed/shows nothing really in the time periods we need it/needed it to!!!BUT THE SEARCH SHALL GO ON NEXT WINTER COS IT WE ALWAYS DO IT!
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Arpege looking good still aswell as ecm?!!!
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Arpege has to remain south for our hopes to remain cos that 18z gfs was an absolute stinker!!!!if arpege goes north wer done and dusted!!
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MKN yeh for once its a downgrade for someone else and not us!!!dontfeel bad at all lol!
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Ecm is an big upgrade on its 00z!!!especially snow totals!!
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I remember Atlantic 252 that a lovely chart for us!!front just to the south of us still at midday cold air over us with an easterly undercut!!!!!
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Mcconnor8 yup and its further south again
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MattStoke basically all the models have gone back to showing what the metoffice warnings were suggesting till they cancelled em out this morning!!!maybe jumped the gun too soon?!!
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If ecm goes further south i dont see how it shall change much from there on!!midlands lookin primed!!🌨🌨
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bluearmy yes it does!!!!defo upgrades this evening though for anyone in that snow zone!!
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Massive upgrades for the midlands area now!!!nearly all 12zs i have seen give me 10cms at least!!!will it happen though?!!!!
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Battleground Snow massive upgrade and south easterly undercut still ongoing at lunchtime!!
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Battleground Snow it does mate trust me!!you got the 00z for comparison for same time?!!
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Midlander wow and with fresh data in and closer to the actual event surely arpege shall not be too far off?!!
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Battleground Snow to be fair id rather them not have a warning at all!!most of the time nothing comes out of it so it maybe a blessing for us this time
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Battleground Snow according to the arpege we get absolutely pummeled 48 hours from now and then remain cold as well!!!
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Model banter and emotions
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
ICE COLD mate i threw it in on the 17th or 18th of january lol!!didnt even waste my time trying after that!one of the worst winters for my location ever and just to add thats with background patterns apparently looking more favourable this winter!yeh right!ive had more snow and cold in the past in what was supposedly meant to be the milder winters !not gona say much more as i said my bit a month ago lol!!on to next winter.....!!