sheikhy
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Posts posted by sheikhy
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Just now, nick sussex said:
OMG this is getting very exciting .
What a lovely upgrade on the ECM 06 hrs run .
We see that nuisance high lobe over France suppressed and the shortwave looks like it will clear before the Atlantic low gets too close .
If 12zs are the same then i suspect our time has come mr sussex
!!!!!and i repeat IF the 12zs are the same!!!
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Ecm 06z looking juicy at just 90 hours!better block and colder air further south!!!
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Best thing its been dry here over the last week with frosts so when the snow does come there shall be no issues with settling snow!!!
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My god this could be a beauty at 168 hours!!!!
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Massive change on the gfs and for the better so far up to 144 hours
!!!
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Very very good ecm mean all the way to the end!!!
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Ecm gona make us all happy here and give us a straight line northerly!!!15 mins and counting
!!.....
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1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:
not good
I mentioned this to @Lukesluckybunch a few mins ago!!!knew the 168 chart wouldnt look pretty and my fears have come true!!!!we are on the ropes and we need the models to come back around asap!!!shortwave activity scuppering things big time!!
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Just now, Lukesluckybunch said:
Excited for the 168 chart!
Shortwave coming through iceland at 144 hour could scuppper the 168 hour chart!!!
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Gfs doesnt have a scooby of whats goin on!!look at the difference between the 0z run and 06z run at 204 hours
!!!
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Gfs o6z terrible
!!!!!
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2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
Is that a shortwave just south of Iceland ?
Yes seems to be an ever slight kink to the isobars around that area!!could disturb the flow but it looks loads better than the icon 12z!!!
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Icon lining up a direct hit at 120 hours
!!!!!
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Scrap what i said few mins ago and go with what i said 35 mins ago which was the ecm was gona be a beast of a run!!!thats exactly what is in the end!!what a comeback
!!!
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Hmmm not sure the ecm gona be great at 168 hours!!!one things for sure it looks no where near as good at its 06z control run at 144 hours!!!!
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Ecm looking bloody fantastic at 72 hours!!!going to be a holy grail run
!!!!!
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Gfs control is a massive outlier jheeez!!!!!mean in my opinion is extremely good!!!!
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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:
Don't look at the 12z control whatever you do..
I have a few mins ago and its horrible and i wish i didnt!!!!!mean is better!!!!!
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Squeaky bum time!!!!ecm has to go the right way this evening!!!!im very nervous right now!!!!
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Beautiful ukmo and gfs so far!!
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41 minutes ago, CoventryWeather said:
Good stuff! Is it anything heavy? Quite a few light showers heading inland.
Not much just grains in the air
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And theres that little cold pool north greenland on icon and again it stops better ridging into the pole!!it doesnt get absorbed west or east and just sits there for ages!!!still good icon but could have looked so much better!!
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Finally snow grains here lol!!!
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Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Jheeez can you imagine
!!well if thats the case no more model watchin from me and the countdown begins!!!!!