sheikhy
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Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Clearly going down to the wire!!!ukmo not letting up and although we gona end up maybe with the same result we are looking at a really wet couple of days before hand!!gfs still the same!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Was gona say the same thing!!really cannot take these updates seriously anymore!!they have been out by quiet a bit in the last year or so!! -
Dunno what to take from that update!!!its so brief dunno how to interpret it lol!!!icon 12z does not back ukmo at all by the way!!so good start!!
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Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Icon no where close to the ukmo!!!high ridges in and starts warming up! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fantastic gfs mean by the way!!!backs the op run!!like i said could all change next run!!nothing is for definate!!just commenting on what the charts are showing at the moment!!!anyone wanting rain better start prayin lol!!what are the chances of ukmo coming on board this evening but gfs and ecm do a u turn -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Seema like brilliant news mate!!!gfs is never ending high pressure lol! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs you beaaaaautyyyyy!!!!sticks tiwo fingers up at ukmo!!!high builds in perfectly!!beware of sudden change in 12zs though!!gfs has a habit of doing this!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Going to say right now the gfs 06z is not even close to the ukmo at 96 hours!!!no trough dropping at all!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Icon 06z does NOT follow the ukmo!!goes with ecm and gfs instead!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wow!!if ukmo trumps both gfs and ecm i really dunno what to say!!at only 120 hours as well!ukmo is not too bad to be fair anyway!!looks pretty delicious at 144 hours with the trough heading south and west and pressure building over!pretty wet 24 hours before that though!!ecm and gfs continue on their merry way to a heatwave? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Any news on ensembles? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Jesus and we thought ecm was great!!pretty much the whole of europe in heatwave territory on the 18z!!surely to good to be true and downgrades on the way tomorrow -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it me mike or does this look way better already compared to the 12z ecm? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Icon 18z seems to have moved towards ecm in regards to that low near iceland!!high pressure nudging in a bit more from the atlantic as well!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Most certainly will change next run!!!but really good to look at for now!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Holy crap 240 hours even better than the gfs!! +15 850s incoming! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Beauuutyyyyyyy at 216 hours!!!dry warm and humid air flowing in from the east!!!!scandi high backs west!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bingo at 192 hours!!scandi high born and warm air over us and coming in from the continent!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wonderful at 168 hours!!high right through the uk!!ukmo odd one out tonight!!making the most of these cool showers over the next 2 days!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Better than ukmo at 144 hours and is exactly like this mornings 00z run!!!so far its right between the gfs and ukmo!!i take that as a positive!!lets see what the 168 hours shows!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fantastic 12z gfs if you like sunny and warm dry weather!!!ukmo continues to drop trough from northwest at 144 hours so no changes from the 00z run!not sure if the high will build there after!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very good 00z run from ecmwf and another good dry run from 06z gfs as well!!gone is the washout that was forecasted for the next week!!there is gona be real concern now with the lack of rainfall now forecasted!!as northwest snow mentioned cant really have any confidence in the output at the moment cos it change next run!this dry streak is really something extra ordinary and keeps on giving!!had rain on and off here all day yesterday but was really light and pathetic lol!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.
sheikhy replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A much much improved gfs up to 200 hours!!more high pressure !!even ukmo dont look to bad!!make the most of whatever rain we get in the next 2 or 3 days lol because we could be waiting around for the next batch of rain according to the 00z gfs!!over to ecm.... -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
sheikhy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs an outlier in terms of pressure from the 10th!!so those ridiculous wet charts might nit be that bad closer to the time!!not to say its wrong cos it could wellbe right!! -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
sheikhy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mainly dry run again up to 180 hours from gfs 18z!!although does turn cooler!!high pressure to nudge in again from the west?