SummerShower
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Posts posted by SummerShower
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5 minutes ago, baddie said:
My birthday is March 25th, would it be cold and snowy, or warm and sunny, or just average??
The 25th would probably have a minimum of about -12, but a rapid thaw sets in with 19C in the North Midlands by 430pm on the 25th. An easterly gale gives way to slack southerlies, and thunderstorms push northwards overnight 25/26th
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February 2021, apart from the 2nd week.
February 2017 too
Further back January 1992 and February 1993 (apart from the last weekend which had a northerly toppler)
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Last nomination. July 2014. I think the 16th to 26th meet the criteria..
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OK, I'll nominate a 2nd one. The eligible period in June 2023, seen as that contained my wedding day 9th).
Thank you
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I'll go for the one in 2nd week of August 2022 please.
Thank you
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5 hours ago, Andrew_WSM said:
Will do! Low expectations though
Google your having a laugh!
Is that a forecast in Fahrenheit lol
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1 hour ago, Sun Chaser said:
Ah yes, Dec 2012. Memories of it being somewhat cold and dry but it was actually the wettest month of the entire decade where I lived at the time! Fitting of the year it was in. I was quite young at the time so I don't remember loads but I remember being in the car on Christmas Eve when there was a HUGE deluge and wondering why it hadn't snowed. (there was snow in Dec 2009/2010 and I'd been in Poland in Dec 2011 where it snowed)
I'd happily take December 2012 if the rest of that winter followed.
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23 hours ago, MP-R said:
In recent years Feb 01st 2019 is probably the heaviest snowfall rate for my location.
Going back, the thundersnow on Jan 28th 2004 is etched in my memory. It’s probably the only time I’ve seen snow fall in sheets like torrential rain.
Both of these events hold true here too.
1st Feb 2019. About 2 inches fell overnight, which was predicted. What wasn't predicted was the additional 7 to 8 inches that fell in 3-4 hours that Friday afternoon.
Jan 28th 2004. Nearly 2 inches in just half an hour in that thundersnow event.
2 more stick out in this area for the rate it came down:
1. December 21st 2009. Again, unforecast. There were snow remains from previous falls, but we weren't expecting the 4 inches in 2 hours that afternoon.
2. April 6th 2008. Almost as intense as the Jan 04 event. That Sunday morning, 3 inches fell in about an hour and a half. However, as it was April, it didn't last long when the sun came out after, and only patches remained the next day. This event also contained a typical winter positive lightning strike about 5 miles away, but was ducted in the cold air, and sounded like the end of the world.
2 minutes ago, SummerShower said:**
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It's actually a really tough one and I cannot vote for a single option.
I do yearn for cold and snow and love to see it fall and settle, but when we get it, the novelty only lasts a few days and then I want it gone. Especially if it starts going all slushy, or totally freezing over.
As a weather enthusiast, I do like heavy rain and gale force winds in the winter. In fact I'd prefer that to mild, dry and cloudy. Give me a 89/90 or a 13/14 repeat over, say 16/17 or 21/22 any day (I'd happily take a Eunice repeat though)
That said, I found February 2019, and February 1998s warm spells amazing.
I think I just prefer to see actual weather happening.
I am also a keen runner, and mild cloudy dry weather is the ideal weather to run in in the winter.
Maybe I just see the good in everything too much and need to form an opinion! But honestly, I can appreciate all types of conditions to some degree.
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January. A southerly tracking jet but very wet. Cold in the North. Very wet, with cold a mild alternating in the south. Think Jan 2021.
February. Very snowy 1st half with an even more southerly tracking jet. Less cold, but still cold, and dry 2nd half. Think Feb 47, then 2013.
March. Mixed, but a notable event at the end of the month, with a late season BFTE pushed northwards by a very early Spanish plume. Heavy thundersnow on the 24th, but 24C by the 26th.
April. A decent month. Think 1st half of April 2020 followed by 2nd half of April 2011.
May. Unsettled, local convective events, but drier with persistent easterlies in the 2nd half. Sunny in the west. Think similar to this year.
June. 1st half similar to 2019 or 2012, 2nd half similar to 2007. A rather poor month.
July. The best month of the summer. A 3 week anticyclone with many 27 to 30C days, with hottest locations varying. Thundery last 10 days. Think a slightly lesser version of 2006.
August. Overall a very wet, but not completely poor month. 1st week like 2004, 2nd week like 2020, so very hot at times, 3rd week like 2014, last 10 days again akin to 2020 with a cold Bank Holiday.
September. Similar to 2022. Widespread storms in the 1st week, then non descript. Warm at the end with 27C on the 30th.
October. 1st few days like 2011 though a degree cooler and missing out on 30C. The Atlantic will be so warm that a hurricane approaches and becomes extra tropical just 10 miles off lands end. 110mph gusts in the SW on the 18th. A 13C CET month. Average rainfall overall.
November. A cold month, with a first half like 2016 and a northerly shot like 2010 after the 20th. Coldest since 1993.
December. The only non-descript month of the year. Will be a boring month, say like 2021.
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4.8C, 56mm.
A mixed month with some rain, some sun, some cloud, some spells of cold, some mild and maybe windy at times.
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2 hours ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:
It's been quite good in terms of disparities. Just think...we started the season with nearly an entire week high 20s to low 30s weather, and then rounding up the season with the first minus degree temps since early this year!
It's like spring 2018 in reverse.
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On 20/11/2023 at 13:46, Summer8906 said:
I'm also glad September 2023 didn't break any records to be honest: again I'd prefer the Sep record to be broken in a September which is notably warm and sunny all the way through.
That September heatwave was glorious and will live long in the memory. It would have been a notable heatwave even if it had occurred in July.
I think it was so intense (for the time of year) it would have taken an exceptional cold spell to stop the record. It was like August 1995 - that had beaten the record by the end of the 3rd week, whatever happened.
I'm actually glad it beat September 2006, which didnt actually have any extremes of temperature, but was just consistently warm but unsettled.
I am of course talking about the overall CET and not maximum temperatures. Hope that makes sense
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November is the toughest month (tied with March) to come up with a best or worst one. However, I'd pick 2009 as the most interesting one. It was very wet (exceptionally so in places), but if one followed the path of the low pressures they were often NW to SE and that was a portent to the winter that followed. There was also blocking to the east heralding this, perhaps explaining why it was so wet - the weather fronts slow moving over the UK. There were some notable wind events too, and liking extreme weather I was happy with this. Some will disagree on this though.
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1 hour ago, Shillitocettwo said:
Here's my current thinking...
December 2023 - Not quite 2015 territory but still 2nd warmest with near incessant low pressure systems and storms barrelling in from the Atlantic and south-westerly fetches, which will deliver the first ever 20.C plus day in UK at a staggering 20.1.C. CET 8.6.C and EWP 126mm
20C in December certainly not out of the question if we get 2015 style synoptics. You just need to look at how unbelievably warm the Atlantic is now. In 2015 there were actually cold anomalies in the North Atlantic.
Is 20C likely in December? No, but is it possible? Absolutely.
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Joint, Culross, and Langdon Bay 99mph
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10 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
Hampshire and IOW have declared a "major incident" because of the storm ... IOW perhaps justified, but a bit OTT for Hampshire? They need to ring that school up in Eastbourne instead!
Definitely ott when my location in North Hampshire is forecast no more than 40mph gusts, and rainfall of about 6mm.
Will be just a normal autumnal day here
Further south, yes, justified.
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7 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:
ECM in-line with the others. The low centre pretty much goes over the top of my head. Shame, this looked like a memorable event a couple of days ago, from a strong wind POV.
Its a shame really as the wind strength for the luckiest areas, ie the Channel and nw France looks on a par with Eunice in feb2022. That was exciting.
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9 minutes ago, Summer8906 said:
I remember this season for its benign nature, and October in particular was unseasonably dry. If I remember right there were just three widely-spaced short periods with rain, each lasting just two days or so, throughout October. One of them I remember was somewhat unexpected, some kind of upper cold pool within an anticyclone, probably around the 9th or 10th. One of the others was during the final weekend when "Dark Sunday" was typically gloomy and drizzly.
The very end of the month was unseasonably mild and dry (though rather cloudy): I distinctly remember drinking outside at a pub on the 31st during the evening.
Sunshine totals were not great but even still it was a relief to see such a benign autumn after the poor early/mid summer.
I seem to remember the 3 rain days you describe as the 9th and 16th, both Tuesdays, and then Sunday 28th at the end of October as you say. Dry otherwise though
I seem to recall a vigorous cold front brining hail on 8th November and a bit of snow on the 18th too
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19 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
Wouldn't mind a bit of that storm action next week..
Indeed, if we can't have a nice crisp autumn, or a cold snowy winter then why not go the other extreme? Autumn 2000, winter 89/90 and 13/14 were awesome seasons, for example
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Other months:
June 1997. Warm start, then cold and very wet 2nd half
June 2007. Actually started quite warm and humid with some summery days before the cold deluge in the 2nd half
March 2013. Actually started out with average temperatures but it was the 2nd half that was more exceptional for cold
April 2017. Very warm 1st half (2nd weekend was hot) then a more average to cold 2nd half, with a real cold snap at the start of the last week. Markedly variable rainfall. Very dry here but others had notable April showers
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3 minutes ago, baddie said:
Imagine if we end up getting another November 2019 redux (Worst November ever!!!!)
Yes, that month was wet but boring. November 2009 was a more interesting month, with gales thrown in the mix
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I remember September and October being mostly benign with some nice crisp sunny days and not much in the way of rain. Quite seasonal temperatures as well (which was OK actually despite my preference for heat).
November was a bit more active. I remember a notable cold front on the 8th which brought hail, and there was sleet on the 18th, I think some areas had some snow, but not notable amounts.
Not the most interesting season from a dramatic/extreme weather pont of view, but generally pleasant.
What stations deserve a top 10 hottest day and which station should get the next all-time record?
in Historic Weather
Posted · Edited by SummerShower
From a local perspective Farnborough, Reading University, or Stratfield Mortimer should have a top 10. Maybe Middle Wallop or Bournemouth too, as with the right wind direction these stations can get pretty hot. You do need an easterly component to the wind to get the hottest temperatures in this area.
Other stations.. I agree with Benson, this station does get very hot, as does Pershore, and Coleshill.
Porthmadog in Wales is also another one that could have 1 entry, as again with the right wind direction this station is at least 1 degree hotter than anywhere else. IIRC there was a day this summer where nowhere in the UK exceeded 25.3 apart from Porthmadog, which got just shy of 30. The same was true in June 2018.