weather_it_will
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Posts posted by weather_it_will
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So far this is a repeat of last winter.
Nothing much in the way of snow.
The model threads straw clutching, or relying on SSW to give us a proper spell of below freezing weather with snow.
You know it's going to be a poor winter when SSW get's mentioned in the model thread.
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I have no interest in windy weather, as it is not something you can actually see.
It's like having someone throwing your garden furniture around but you can't see who it is.
The worst bit of windy weather is having to rescue your wheely bin from where ever it has ended up.
Nearly 100% certain it will be a snowless winter for most with just 3-weeks of winter left, and no sign of any snow storms.
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January 2018 had some higher daytime temps than this year for my location,
but on average it was 1.3°C colder @4.5°C, than this year average 5.8°C.
The end of February 2018 it did become very cold, so maybe we have to wait until end of Feb this year for some proper cold weather.
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I can't see any sign of proper prolonged winter weather.
Time is running out, unless you want snow in the Spring.
Halfway now through Winter and only had about 3 frosty mornings.
I have said this before but all four seasons now have same dross weather.
I have to holiday out of UK to get proper sun and warmth.
Climate change is not happening in the UK. At least not in the summer when you want heat.
(Unless you live in in a small part of London or the south east that records the hottest day for about 10 seconds)
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5 hours ago, Terminal Moraine said:
Just 8 hours of sunshine here in the frst half of January. If the second half is equally cloudy it would end as the dullest month on record ( since 2000)
Just waiting for one of my customers systems operating on battery, charged by solar panels to tell me their system is not working.
Forecast says this weekend and Monday will be sunny, so fingers crossed no callouts.
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On 11/08/2019 at 17:44, Neil Harris said:
After a 15 minute deluge at 11am it's been a very nice summers day here. Some lovely spells of sunshine.
Sunny and warm here too, and yet Shefali just before 7pm on Midlands today was wearing a thick Winter coat.
I was still pottering about in the garden at 9pm in a t-shirt because it felt warm.
It's 13°C here outdoors and 23°C indoors.
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This Winter did not go wrong.
What did go wrong was people trying to predict the weather more than 7-days in advance, which is always mostly pie in the sky theories.
Too many people hanging on to the long range Metoffice forecast, bellieving it to be gospel.
SSW does not guarantee a cold spell.
I experienced three snow events this winter, but they were only short term one day events, and probably only only because my job involves travel
throughout the UK. But I am happy I have seen snow this winter.
We are constantly reminded about global warming, so we are really lucky to see snow at all in the UK.
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Winter must be over now.
Only the die hards still think there is hope of a proper cold spell.
I have seen snow twice these last few weeks of winter, and that is good enough for me, even if it was less than an inch.
The metoffice say the next 10 years will be the warmest in history, so on that note, roll on summer.
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Just as many members below and above freezing from day 6.
It could go either way.
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No sign of any serious cold weather yet. Cold yes, but nothing out the ordinary.
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16 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Surprises ? We’ve been waiting for the cold spell from the SSW for a month ?
It can take weeks for SSW to take effect. Maybe 52!
There is no guarantee of snow though.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/wind/sudden-stratospheric-warming
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4 minutes ago, snowbob said:
Has this become just the banter thread
just saying
It's model and banter, as per the thread title. Correct
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13 minutes ago, Mizzle said:
With all the despondency about the downgraded events of this winter period (and references to them as being what we in the UK have come to expect) I have a question: what is the shortest timeframe for a turnaround to an upgrade the UK has experienced?
I can remember the models showing solid snow events in 24/48 hours, and then completely going off track to be a non-event.
When it comes to snow, nowcasting (look out the window!), is sometimes more accurate than forecasts or model watching, when it looks marginal.
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GFS and ECM more or less agree up to T240.
At present no real cold on offer, and the Atlantic seems fired up, to give us Low after Low, and no sign of any blocking.
A chance of some marginal and brief snow events
GEFS ensembles long term outlook heading for milder temperatures, but that can of course change.
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It's the same every Winter.
It never pays to get carried away by one run, especially when any possible decent snow event was 9-days away!
Even if the charts are showing snow at T+24, you can't be sure it will actually happen.
Plus the usual comments that the charts must be wrong, as they don't show what you want.
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12 minutes ago, tight isobar said:
No wonder you post in 'the banter thread'..
Pure comedy!!.
Are you looking @equatorial modeling!!????..
Haha.
It's too easy to get carried away with believing the snowmageddon posts on the MO thread.
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Nothing in the current charts convinces me of there being any sustained proper cold period, let alone snow.
We are at least a week or two away from the models getting to grips with what is left of winter.
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14 minutes ago, Light Without Heat said:
Does anyone think this maybe down to the US government departments that are shut ?
High pressure seems to dominate on this 12z run in the reliable time frame giving us lots of mostly dry weather.
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The hopecasters hope for snow, but unless you work for the newspapapers it's looks unlikely in January for most of us.
PS. SSW = South South Westerly, and nothing to do with the Stratosphere.
Hopecasting continues, driving home from Christmas in their Fiat 500. (Clogging up the roads)
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8 minutes ago, Brrrrr! said:
Just down the road
My side street has just been re-gritted by the big gritter but the road is still white-ish We don't get gritters for side streets.
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4 minutes ago, Glacier Point said:
Unbelievably Met Office still has me down as dry !!
Yes, M.O shows no snow here in Redditch until 4pm, even though it's already steady snow now, and covering the roads.
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Snowing steadily here in Redditch since at least 8am.
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Just some light snow in Banbury.
No direct hit on radar yet.
Light snow Dusting on the road.
My side street has just been re-gritted by the big gritter but the road is still white-ish 
Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
It's about 4°C here in south Midlands, dry and grey.....
Perfect weather for mowing the lawn, as it has been mostly dry for such a long time, and the ground is firm enough for a lawn mower.
Got it done before the wet weather arrives, as the grass will be longer and more hard work to cut by then.
Not expecting any lasting snowfall event.
Hopefully we have a long hot spring and summer on the way.