[Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

Can confirm Leicester has snow!!

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

PARA SAYS NO TO THE ATLANTIC.. fi i know

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

A lot of members want to keep the deep cold going

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

Judging by those ensembles, when this easterly does arrive the air COULD be much colder than the OP's are showing atm.

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

Just now, tight isobar said:

120hrs.. ya can’t knock these synoptics.. wallop.. precipitation ..at this point is a guess in measure.. not in what would be falling...

That's the 12Z  GFS from yesterday

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Dont think we looking at the upstream low mate!!its what happens over us and to the south east much more important i think?!

I see, well the ECM is still a few hundred miles further SE with the low I think

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

3 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

Ok. - ec 06z, gfs 06z and ec 00z for comparison 

    

Upstream low very similar to 00z

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

I present perturbation 1... JFF of course

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

This is simply unreal at this point... I'm in shock guys

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

2 minutes ago, Griff said:

5 days later... 

With hopefully a country covered in snow

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Wow what a difference a year makes, simply breathtaking...

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Couldn't have drawn it better myself

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Long way off but this is simply stunning

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Northerly? Easterly? Cant quite tell

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Don’t take anything in FI as facts, I was supposed to have a sleety mess according to most models on sunday this time last week but I did just fine! Upgrades nearly always appear nearer the time.

[Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

I’ll take that for now

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

I know I'm not the most knowledgeable on this forum but this idea of the Russian high disappearing when we need it doesn't make too much sense to me. Now I could be completely wrong but I believe it WAS the russian high that prevented real cold air from making it to us, due to the source being far south of Europe/middle east. Even then the air cooled significantly by the time it reached us leading to some very cold days and nights over the past month or so and with MANY marginal snow events in areas. 

IF that high was to gain latitude and move west we would be in BFTE territory and that is where a lot of us have placed hope in the SSW, its still not over and a resurgence of heights to our east is something I believe we will see at some point in the next 6 weeks.

Lets keep chasing!

[Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas]

Way out in FI but look at the difference....

[Model output discussion - into the start of Winter]

Hi, first post here, just wondering with all the talk about upper air temps, is there a particular stage in winter where they become less important or a point where there would just be more cold air available even from the NW for example?