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AFCBSNOW

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Everything posted by AFCBSNOW

  1. AFCBSNOW
    Well it's still snowing here in North Bournemouth about 5 miles inland, settling on the cars and patio furniture.
  2. AFCBSNOW
    Well it won't be us in Bournemouth lol. My partner lives on the Thames estuary and we have actually watched these streamers come in and what looks like a small accumulation, actually ends up being a dumping, especially 2 plus Miles in land. Definite nowcasting.
  3. AFCBSNOW
    I got caught in Gravesend for that. I couldn't get my car out of the Premier Inn car park.
  4. AFCBSNOW
    If you underwhelmed by this, then its the wrong hobby for you my friend. Its simply stunning for this time of year.
  5. AFCBSNOW
    Morning all from a glorious and FROSTY Bournemouth, where real life ice had to be scraped from the car before work. Just a note on the models, the fact that 50% of the people here are saying mild and 50% says trend is your friend, really shows that there is vast uncertainty. I tend to fall on the @MattH side of the fence. I think there will be some great surprises this year, and we are still weeks away from winter. Keep the cold bottled till then. Have a great day!
  6. AFCBSNOW
    I know, i live at the bottom of the runway, every fence panel has gone, gate has been blown off the hinges and my metal arch has been twisted into some weird shape that can only be described as modern art lol
  7. AFCBSNOW
    We look right in the firing line, I can see the Christchurch storm defence being breached and I'm sure the cherries game against forest will be off
  8. AFCBSNOW
    Ironically, on the south coast it was one of the coldest nights of the season, i woke up to -2 in Bournemouth and it was a real shock at 7am
  9. AFCBSNOW
    I will take -7 uppers over Bournemouth, any day of the week!!
  10. AFCBSNOW
    The angle of the low has a better tilt as far as i can see?
  11. AFCBSNOW
    Not if Nicola gets her way mods please feel free to remove, just some light hearted bantz!
  12. AFCBSNOW
    We will have some of that. You know at the elevation of north Bournemouth (kinson) we will get pasted
  13. AFCBSNOW
    As a new member I do find it amazing at some of the comments. Its so IMBY. Coming from deepest Dorset, I of all people know what its like to be snow starved and have raging westerlies overhead. I get that some of you are disappointed with the output, however, look at the overall patterns, when, in real terms have we had set-ups like this??
  14. AFCBSNOW
    what's the order of play for the 12z's?
  15. AFCBSNOW
    Thats the case for the Nederlands, but for us we will see seasonal weather in this pattern.
  16. AFCBSNOW
    Thank you for the explaination. I find your posts, and others on here, the ones i look for when looking at the direction we are heading. There seems to be too much personal bias, both ways with interpretation and personal preference, which can deflect from what the charts are actually saying. The trend is your friend! It, to my untrained eye points to a colder period of seasonal weather, snow or not, that to me is enough to have some xmas cheer. Keep the posts coming!!
  17. AFCBSNOW
    This winter?!! Its the first day. I love this forum, but seriously i am so close to giving up on it now, to much hysteria, the truth is, nobody, including the models have this pegged.
  18. AFCBSNOW
    Hi all, so back for another chase. Only my second year of really watching what is going on, but to my very untrained eyes and memory, didn't we have some serious flip flopping on GFS last year, picked up day 10 then dropped it as soon as the other models were on board? Only to pick it up again around T96. Of course i am probably wrong, but seems to have a real issue with amplification and any stress on PV?
  19. AFCBSNOW
    I just wonder, if this bounces Biscay and the South clips this one?
  20. AFCBSNOW
    Still time IMHO for that to track 100-200 miles further SE
  21. AFCBSNOW
    My Ignore list is expanding rapidly, the clickbait is just appalling at the moment. If your seeing something other people and models are not then please back it up with facts. Otherwise what's the point of being on the model thread, go bait people on twitter. Also looking forward th the ECM, everything is crossed tonight.
  22. AFCBSNOW
    Ironically, ground level temp in Bournemouth is 2c lower today than forecast. I don't think the models have a handle on the anything real wold at all.
  23. AFCBSNOW
    90 degree Duck incoming!
  24. AFCBSNOW
    I have been lurking on and off of here for years, and this year has piqued my interest far more than any have previously. The fact that our 'best' model ECM, can wobble like it did, IMHO completely against all other signals, to my mind shows just how hard it has been for this event to be modelled. Anyway the Pub run looks like delivering again so I will leave it at that. Keep the great commentary going guys.
  25. AFCBSNOW
    To be fair, nothing below -4c has been in any of the models before 6th Feb, I wouldn't sweat the small stuff, plenty of time to change. Pattern first, uppers after.
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