Bermuda High

the 0400: 1600 thing is just related to the short term 1 to 5 day forecast being updated.

its definatley todays, browse further up and see my post yesterdays, the dates and text are different

Good update from met in outlook thread...

Sunday 7 Feb - Tuesday 16 Feb Rather cloudy and cold across the UK on Sunday with wintry showers over eastern parts. An area of high pressure then looks to build to the north, and it will likely feel cold or very cold, especially in brisk easterly winds. There is a chance of conditions being dry at times with widespread overnight frosts, although wintry showers can still feed in from the east coast. Any organised areas of cloud and precipitation arriving from the southwest will not progress very far into the country as a result of the high pressure. However, they can bring the potential for widespread snow across areas where they bump into cold air. Patches of ice and other disruptive wintry hazards remain a possibility for all areas. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 2 Feb 2021 Tuesday 16 Feb - Tuesday 2 Mar Confidence is low for this period from mid-February onwards, but conditions could turn cold and dry towards the end of the month. Less cold and milder interludes are still a possibility due to weather systems arriving from the Atlantic. These systems could bring a risk of disruptive snowfall over the boundary between mild and cold air. Disruptive wintry hazards continue to be a greater than normal threat during this period, and snowfall is a possibility for all areas, but is most likely over eastern parts of the country. Precipitation amounts are generally likely to be lower than average. The Met boys are not for turning.....

UK long range weather forecast Saturday 6 Feb - Monday 15 Feb Remaining unsettled for much of the UK on Saturday with showers and longer spells of precipitation, wintry in places, especially in northern areas with a risk of heavy snowfall. High pressure then looks to gradually build to the north, which will introduce cold and dry weather across the UK, with widespread overnight frosts, though wintry showers could still feed in from the east coast at times. It will likely feel cold, or rather cold, especially in brisk easterly winds. Icy stretches along with other disruptive wintry hazards, remain a possibility for all areas. There also remains the possibility of milder and wetter conditions fringing the far northwest at times, along with organised areas of cloud and precipitation making limited progress inland from the southwest. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Mon 1 Feb 2021 Monday 15 Feb - Monday 1 Mar Confidence is low for mid-February onwards however similar conditions look most likely with high pressure remaining to the north of the UK, bringing overall colder than average conditions and below average precipitation amounts. Throughout this period the risk of wintry hazards continues to be greater than normal with snowfall possible for all areas, but most likely in eastern areas. There remains the possibility of less cold interludes occurring from the west and southwest, bringing wetter and milder conditions. In such instances, at the boundary between cold and mild air masses, there remains the risk of disruptive snowfall.

2018 BTFE 1 and 2,both were clean and all models

For gods sake bbc is private firm meteogroup not metoffice. They only use metoffice for warnings

2018 BTFE 1 and 2 were clean and all models on board.

Molegrips and nodecider failed epically in winter 2018,2019 especially February 2019.

That's a downgrade, very cold gone and much drier.

Shades of feb 2019 where meto long range kept saying very cold Feb, snow, molegrips and nodecider all on board ,for weeks ... in the end warmest February ever....

Yes seems like a bit of delay, yet again. Always 10 days away

UK long range weather forecast Wednesday 3 Feb - Friday 12 Feb Wintry precipitation is likely to persist over northern areas on Wednesday, showers in the far southwest, elsewhere rather cloudy with plenty of dry weather. Mild at first in the south; though high pressure building up over the north of the UK during this period is likely to bring easterly winds, cold temperatures, and coastal snow showers. A pattern of wintry showers persisting across the far north, elsewhere seeing mostly fine weather, widespread frosts, fog, and icy patches. Eastern parts seeing the most hazardous conditions, with further snow showers likely. The south and west will see the most of any organised rain and snow, but frontal systems are generally not expected to progress across the country. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Sat 30 Jan 2021 Friday 12 Feb - Friday 26 Feb High pressure to the north looks set to remain for at least the beginning of this period, before slowly declining, although confidence at this range is low. Mid February will continue to see cold, dry, and wintry weather, but towards the end of the month more unsettled weather may encroach from the Atlantic. These may bring rain and snow at times to the west and southwest. There is a continued risk of significant snowfall events on the boundary between colder and milder airmasses, with snow possible in many areas.

Contingency planners WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Our weather products help contingency planners prepare for and respond to emergencies. 3 month outlook 3-month Summary) • Overall reduction in the chance of cold conditions compared to normal • A cold 3-month period remains possible • Greater chance of cold spells early in the period • Slightly higher-than-normal chance of dry conditions • Near average or wet conditions remain possible 1-month summary (1-month Summary) • Increased chance of a cold February compared to normal • Greater likelihood of impacts from cold weather such as snow and ice • A near average or mild month remains possible • The chance of wet conditions is slightly higher than the chance of dry conditions • Increased likelihood of impacts from heavy rainfall • A near average or dry month remains possible take with a bag of salt, all bases covered... https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/government/contingency-planners/index

UK long range weather forecast Sunday 31 Jan - Tuesday 9 Feb After a very cold but bright start to Sunday, rain will move in from the west later. Going into next week, unsettled conditions look likely to dominate, with low pressure systems moving in off the Atlantic. The weather will be changeable. Periods of rain or wintry showers, and strong winds are likely, especially in the west, with brief more settled spells in between. Westerly or southwesterly winds during this period will bring milder temperatures to most areas, but occasional interludes of cold northerly winds are possible. It will be on this boundary between colder and milder airmasses where any snowfall to lower levels could possibly occur. Towards the end of this period, we may see high pressure build over the north of the UK, bringing colder temperatures and wintry outbreaks. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 26 Jan 2021 Tuesday 9 Feb - Tuesday 23 Feb Although confidence at this range is low, current signals suggest that high pressure could be positioned over the north of the UK during this period. This would likely bring wintry outbreaks and colder than average temperatures to northern areas, as well as increasing the likelihood of more widespread cold spells. Any periods of milder, unsettled weather are more likely to be confined to central and southern areas, where greater than average rainfall is predicted. There is a continued risk of significant snowfall events on the boundary between colder and milder airmasses, with snow possible to low elevations. Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Tue 26 Jan 2021 bit of a upgrade id say...